One more round of snowshowers Friday afternoon into early Saturday evening…

Tommy’s favorite weather! – pic taken 4/3/2025

Tommy’s favorite weather! – pic taken 4/3/2025

Thursday – 3 Apr 2025 – 2:45pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Wednesday was 41. The low this morning was 25.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Wednesday was 26mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5570 / 1959213 / 1975

Precipitation summary… Snowshowers started falling in the area before midnight and fell on and off all night and into Thursday afternoon.

Wolf Creek reported another 9” of snow this morning to bring their storm total to 14”.

CoCoRaHS snow totals this morning ranged from 1” to 3.5”. Joan was the snow lottery winner on the lower Blanco.
CoCoRaHS snow totals this morning ranged from 1” to 3.5”. Joan was the snow lottery winner on the lower Blanco.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite loop from roughly 1:10pm to 2:05pm Thursday – The trough is nearly stationary, extending southwest through UT and into western AZ. Scattered showers are circulating counter-clockwise around the through.
Water vapor satellite loop from roughly 1:10pm to 2:05pm Thursday – The trough is nearly stationary, extending southwest through UT and into northwestern AZ. Scattered showers are circulating counter-clockwise around the through.
Radar at 2:24pm Thursday – Showers ahead of the trough are moving towards the northeast and showers behind the trough are moving towards the southeast.
Radar at 2:24pm Thursday – Showers ahead of the trough are moving towards the northeast and showers behind the trough are moving towards the southeast.

Forecast highlights…

*** The WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the eastern San Juan Mountains will expire at 9pm Thursday. ***

*** Scattered snowshowers into early Thursday evening. ***

*** Another round of snowshowers Friday afternoon into Saturday evening. ***

*** Travel along the I-25 corridor could be rough Friday night into Saturday afternoon. ***

*** Lots of sun and warmer next week. ***

Rest of Thursday into Saturday evening… The trough is nearly stationary, extending southwest through UT and into northwestern AZ. A low is expected to form at the southern end of the trough and then move east through southern NM. I’m concerned that the best storm energy and moisture will miss us to the south, but I’m sticking with my forecast.

Into Thursday evening expect periods of sun and blue sky followed by 10-20 minute long, spotty showers with snow and graupel. Thursday night clouds will break up and temps will get chilly.

Snowshowers will ramp up again Friday afternoon into early Saturday evening, especially over the mountains. Clouds will break up and showers will end Saturday night.

Snow amounts Thursday afternoon through Friday morning…

Mountains: 1-2”

Pagosa area: up to a half inch – it will be spotty

Snow amounts Friday afternoon to early Saturday evening…

Mountains: 4-8”

Pagosa area: up to 2”

Temps…

Thursday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be near 10 to near 20.

Friday and Saturday highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s.

Friday night lows will be near 20 to near 30 and Saturday night lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. 

Winds… Friday and Saturday afternoons winds will peak in the 10-15mph range.

NBM to 6pm Saturday shows 0.8” near Pagosa and 4-8” near Wolf Creek.  
NBM to 6pm Saturday shows 0.8” near Pagosa and 4-8” near Wolf Creek.  

*** Travel along the I-25 corridor and Front Range could be rough Friday night into Saturday afternoon. ***

Sunday through next Friday… It looks like we will dry out and warm up. By the middle of next week, highs will be in the 60s with lots of bright blue sunny skies.

Temps…

Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Thursday and Friday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Each afternoon winds will gust 15-20mph.

The next forecast post will be tomorrow. I finished the monthly weather summary earlier today.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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