Scattered snowshowers this evening and again tomorrow afternoon…

A winter wonderland in April – pic taken 4/4/2025

Friday – 4 Apr 2025 – 6:20pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Thursday was 34. The low this morning was 14. The chilly spots dipped into the high single digits.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Thursday was 24mph.

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
55	72 / 1943	22	-8 / 1945

Precipitation summary… Hit and miss snowshowers fell into Thursday evening but it didn’t amount much.

Wolf Creek reported another 1” of snow overnight to bring their storm total to 19”.

*CoCoRaHS snow totals this morning ranged from a trace to 2.3”. Arleen was the snow lottery winner just north of Turkey Springs.*

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite loop from roughly 4:45pm to 5:45pm Friday – The low is moving slowly east through southern AZ. The whole region is unstable with scattered showers. Shower activity will decrease Friday night and then ramp up again Saturday afternoon. The best moisture is moving north into northeast NM and southeast CO. — *Water vapor satellite loop from roughly 4:45pm to 5:45pm Friday –* The low is moving slowly east through southern AZ. The whole region is unstable with scattered showers. Shower activity will decrease Friday night and then ramp up again Saturday afternoon. The best moisture is moving north into northeast NM and southeast CO.

Radar at 5:52pm Friday – Scattered showers in our area moving slowly towards the north and north-northeast. — *Radar at 5:52pm Friday – Scattered showers in our area are moving slowly towards the north and north-northeast.*

Forecast highlights…

***Scattered snowshowers late Friday afternoon into Saturday evening. ***

*** The Pueblo NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the eastern San Juan Mountains – this includes Wolf Creek and Cumbres Passes. 4-9” of snow and winds gusting to 35mph are expected between 6pm Friday to 6pm Saturday. ***

*** Travel along the I-25 corridor in southeast CO and northeast NM could be rough Friday night into Saturday afternoon. ***

*** Lots of sun and warmer next week. ***

Rest of Friday into Saturday evening… The low will move east through southern NM. We’ll be on the northern edge of the moisture and storm energy.

Scattered snowshowers Friday evening will become more hit and miss overnight and then ramp up again Saturday afternoon, especially over the mountains. Clouds will break up and showers will end Saturday night.

Snow amounts late Friday afternoon to early Saturday evening…

Mountains: 4-8”

Pagosa area: a dusting to 2”

Temps… Friday night lows will be near 20 to near 30. Saturday highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and low will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Winds… Saturday afternoon winds will peak in the 10-15mph range.

The NWS forecast model for snow Saturday evening shows 1.2” near Pagosa, 3.3” near Chama, and 4-8” near Wolf Creek. The low will track farther south than I wanted so snow totals could disappoint. — *The NWS forecast model for snow to Saturday evening shows 1.2” near Pagosa, 3.3” near Chama, and 4-8” near Wolf Creek.*
*The low is tracking farther south than I wanted so snow totals could disappoint.*

Sunday through next Friday… It looks like we will dry out and warm up. By the middle of next week, highs will be in the 60s with lots of bright blue sunny skies.

Temps…

Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Thursday and Friday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Each afternoon winds will gust 15-20mph.

The next forecast post will be on Sunday. It will include a storm summary, Wolf Creek total snowfall for the season, and how Wolf Creek’s total stacks up historically.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

2 Responses

Ruby says:

April 6, 2025 at 9:54 am

Thank you! Your more accurate weather forecasts are much appreciated!

Reply
1. Arleen Pro says:
  
  April 7, 2025 at 6:59 pm
  
  Thank you for your kind words, Ruby!
  
  Reply

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