Our mountains will get a fresh coat of snow tonight and tomorrow – pic taken 4/25/2026
Saturday – 25 Apr 2026 – 3:45pm
*** Earth Day festivities have been moved to the PLPOA clubhouse 10am to 3pm Sunday. We hope to see you there! ***
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Thursday: High: 55, Low: 28, Peak wind: 35mph
Friday: High: 60, Low: 21, Peak wind: 26mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 61 | 75 / 1981 | 25 | 11 / 1960 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
Forecast highlights…
*** WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the mountains above 9,000ft. Up to 12” of snow and winds gusting to 45mph are expected between midnight tonight and midnight tomorrow. EXPECT WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS ON WOLF CREEK PASS. ***
*** Scattered rain showers in the Pagosa area Saturday night into Sunday evening. ***
*** Hard freeze possible Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday nights. ***
*** Breezy each afternoon through Wednesday. ***
*** Chance for another round of valley rain and mountain snow Thursday and Friday. ***
Forecast details…
Saturday night into Sunday evening… A low pressure system will move through the Four Corners area. An influx of moisture and instability will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms. The best chance for precip is after midnight tonight through Sunday afternoon.
Snow levels for most of this period will be 8,500ft to 9,000ft.
My precip forecast…
Wolf Creek Pass area: 8-12” of snow
Pagosa Springs area: 0.25” to 0.50” of rain. Folks above 8,000ft could see a few snowflakes mixed with the rain.
Sunday night into Monday evening… A secondary, weaker trough will move through. There won’t be as much instability and moisture but hit and miss showers are possible. Precip amounts will be light.
Monday night through early Thursday morning… A transient ridge will move through with drier, more stable air. We’ll see scattered to broken clouds, but I think we’ll stay dry.
Late Thursday morning into Friday night… The next low-pressure system will move through the region and kick up another round of scattered showers. The best chance for precip is Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon.
Snow levels will be above 9,000ft.
Rough first guess precip amounts…
Mountains above 9,000ft: 4-8” of snow
Pagosa Springs area: 0.20” to 0.40” of rain
*** Timing and precip amounts are still uncertain. I’ll make adjustments as the data gets better. ***
Temps…
Saturday night lows will be in the low to high 30s.
Sunday highs will be in the mid 40s to the low 50s and *** lows will be in the low 20s to the low 30s. ***.
Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and *** lows will be in the low to high 20s. ***
Tuesday highs will be in the mid-50s to the low 60s and *** lows will be in the low to high 20s. ***
Wednesday highs will be in the high 50s to the mid 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the mid 30s.
Thursday highs will be in the mid-50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.
Friday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the high 20s to the mid 30s.
Next Saturday highs will be in the high 50s to the mid 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to the mid 30s.
Winds…
Sunday afternoon winds will gust 30-35mph in the Pagosa area and 45-55mph in the high country.
Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday each afternoon gusts will be around 25mph in the Pagosa area and 35-45mph in the high country.
Thursday, Friday, and next Saturday each afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa area and 20-30mph in the high country.
2 May to 10 May… This period is trying to remain active but there are no organized storms indicated.
It shows the storm Saturday night into Sunday evening and then scattered showers into Monday evening. It’s dry Monday night into Thursday morning. There’s potential for another storm Thursday afternoon into Saturday afternoon, but the models are all over the place, so I don’t trust them. The rest of the period is trying to stay active but there are no organized storms indicated.
I’ll do a couple of quick posts on Facebook on Sunday, otherwise the next post will be Monday morning.
– Shawn
