Tommy and one of his many girlfriends had fun in the snow near Wolf Creek – Pic taken 2/6/2026
Friday – 6 Feb 2026 – 1:15pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Wednesday: High: 51, Low: 16, Peak wind: 10mph
Thursday: High: *59*, Low: 18, Peak wind: 7mph
* 1 degree short of the record high of 60 set on 5 Feb 1963 *
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 41 | 58 / 1963 | 4 | -26 / 1989 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
There is nothing on radar in our area Friday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Lots of sun and temps 10-15 degrees above average through Monday. ***
*** Tuesday evening into Thursday morning rain and snow in the valley and snow in the mountains. ***
*** The pattern will remain unsettled with another system possible 16-19 Feb. ***
Forecast details…
Friday night through Monday… The ridge will shift to our east and more clouds will move into the area from the southwest, but we’ll stay dry. Afternoon temps will be near record highs.
Tuesday through next Thursday… The ingredients look weaker for a storm moving through the region. The models are all over the place, but overall, precip amounts are trending down.
Timing… Scattered snowshowers will start over the mountains Tuesday evening and gradually increase over the area Tuesday night. The best chance for precip is Wednesday morning into Wednesday evening and then hit and miss showers will persist mostly over the mountains into Friday.
Snow levels… Will bounce around between 7,800ft during the day and 7,000ft at night. Temps during the day will be in the low to mid-40s so snow will struggle to accumulate.
Snow amounts…
Wolf Creek area: 6-10”
Pagosa area above 7,800ft: 1-3”
Pagosa area below 7,800ft: a dusting to 1”
*** There is still a lot of uncertainty with this system. I will adjust the details as the data gets better. ***
Temps…
Friday night lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
Saturday through Monday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be near 20 to near 30.
I’m keeping an eye out for record highs:
Record high on Saturday, 7 Feb: 58
Record high on Sunday, 8 Feb: 56
Record high on Monday, 9 Feb: 56
Tuesday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.
Wednesday, Thursday, and next Friday highs will be mid to high 40s. Wednesday and Thursday lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s. Next Friday lows will be in the low to high 20s.
Winds…
Saturday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph near Pagosa and 25mph in the high country.
Sunday afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area and around 20mph in the high country.
Monday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph near Pagosa and 25mph in the high country.
Tuesday and Wednesday, each afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa area and 30-40mph in the high country.
Thursday and next Friday, each afternoon gusts will be around 15mph near Pagosa and 25mph in the high country.
13 Feb to 21 Feb… The models continue to indicate an active weather pattern. Another system is trying to take shape 16-19 Feb. And it will be colder so it should be all snow for Pagosa Springs.
The next post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
