Mostly sunny and dry into next Tuesday…

It was glorious up at Wolf Creek yesterday! – Pic taken 1/26/2026

It was glorious up at Wolf Creek yesterday! – Pic taken 1/26/2026

Tuesday – 27 Jan 2026 – 3:30pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Sunday: High: 31, Low: 2, Peak wind: 35mph at 3:35pm

Monday: High: 34, Low: -4, Peak wind: 8mph

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4053 / 19825-26 / 1917

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Tuesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. The pesky ridge, jagged blue line, will keep us dry to another week.
Water vapor satellite Tuesday afternoon – Purple arrows indicate upper-level flow. The pesky ridge, jagged blue line, will keep us dry for another week.

There is nothing on radar in our area Tuesday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Lots of sun and a gradual warming trend. ***

*** Maybe a little snow late next Tuesday and Wednesday and then again around 10-12 Feb. ***

Forecast details…

Tonight through next Tuesday morning… The pesky ridge will be the primary influence on our weather for most of this period.

A weak trough will move through northern Colorado Wednesday evening. It will help push a few mid and high clouds through our area, but I expect us to stay dry.

Late next Tuesday and Wednesday… Another disorganized system with limited moisture could drop a little snow in our area. My forecast confidence is low so stay tuned on this one.

Temps…

Tuesday night lows will be in the low single digits to the mid-teens.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the high single digits to high teens.

Saturday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Sunday and Monday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Next Tuesday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Winds…

Wednesday through next Wednesday, each afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area and around 20mph in the high country.

NBM snow to next Tuesday at 11am – Northern Colorado will get a little snow Wednesday into Thursday morning, but no precip is expected in our area.
NBM snow to next Tuesday at 11am – Northern Colorado will get a little snow Wednesday into Thursday morning, but no precip is expected in our area.

3 Feb to 11 Feb… The models hint at a weak storm 3 and 4 Feb and then another one around 10 and 11 Feb.

Ensemble precip totals for the next 15 days – In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.31”. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.32”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.40”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.35”. All models have a slight upward trend. It’s not much, but it’s better than nothing.
Ensemble precip totals for the next 15 days – In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.31”. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.32”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.40”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.35”. All models have a slight upward trend. It’s not much, but it’s better than nothing.
Euro ensemble 15-day snowfall for Wolf Creek shows 3.8”.
Euro ensemble 15-day snowfall for Wolf Creek shows 3.8”.

The next post will be on Thursday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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