Not much to talk about for the next 2 weeks…

It’s great to see winter return to our mountains! – Pic taken 1/25/2026

It’s great to see winter return to our mountains! – Pic taken 1/25/2026

Sunday – 25 Jan 2026 – 5:00pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Saturday: High: 35, Low: 17, Peak Wind: 17mph

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3855 / 19443-29 / 1938

Precipitation summary… A few spots in the Pagosa area got a few snowflakes yesterday. Wolf Creek reported 7” of snow this morning which brough their storm total to 12”.

Thanks so much for everyone’s snow reports, pictures, and videos on our Facebook page!

CoCoRaHS 2-day snow totals ranged from 2.3” to 6.8”. Most locations got less than the 4-8” that I expected.
CoCoRaHS 2-day snow totals ranged from 2.3” to 6.8”. Most locations got less than the 4-8” that I expected.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite loop from 2:40pm to 3:35pm Sunday – The trough moving through northern Colorado extended farther south than I expected and kicked up a few spotty snowshowers. It’s going to clear out behind the trough tonight.
Water vapor satellite loop from 2:40pm to 3:35pm Sunday – The trough moving through northern Colorado extended farther south than I expected and kicked up a few spotty snowshowers. It’s going to clear out behind the trough tonight.
Radar at 3:48pm Sunday – Radar shows a few spotty snowshowers over our mountains, but most of the activity is to our north and long the Front Range.
Radar at 3:48pm Sunday – Radar shows a few spotty snowshowers over our mountains, but most of the activity is to our north and long the Front Range.

Forecast highlights…

*** Mostly sunny and a gradual warming trend. ***

*** Very little to no precip expected for the next 2 weeks. ***

Forecast details…

Sunday night to next Sunday… The pesky ridge will be the primary influence on our weather, but a couple of weak troughs will try to move through from the northwest. The troughs will help push a few mid and high clouds through the region, but I expect us to stay dry.

Temps…

Sunday night lows will be -10 to 5.

Monday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be -5 to 10.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be in the low single digits to the mid-teens.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the high single digits to high teens.

Saturday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Next Sunday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Winds…

Monday through next Sunday, each afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area and around 20mph in the high country.

NBM snow to next Sunday at 11pm – Most of this is expected today. It will be dry most of this period.
NBM snow to next Sunday at 11pm – Most of this is expected today. It will be dry most of this period.

1 Feb to 9 Feb… I see no significant storms on the horizon. Sadly the “winter that wasn’t” continues.

Ensemble precip totals for the next 15 days – In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.17”. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.21”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.26”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.12”.
Ensemble precip totals for the next 15 days – In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.17”. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.21”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.26”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.12”.
Euro ensemble 15-day snowfall for Wolf Creek shows 1.9”.
Euro ensemble 15-day snowfall for Wolf Creek shows 1.9”.

The next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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