Nearly an inch of snow fell during our walk near Williams Creek Reservoir this morning. – Pic taken 1/5/2026
Monday – 5 Jan 2026 – 3:30pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Saturday: High: 51, Low: 23, Peak Wind: 6mph
Sunday: High: 52, Low: 24, Peak Wind: 8mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 34 | 55 / 1958 | -2 | -35 / 1949 |
Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip on Sunday. Today Wolf Creek reported 2” of new snow.
Current satellite and radar…
There is nothing on radar in our area Monday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Scattered snowshowers and light precip amounts are possible in our mountains into Monday evening. ***
*** Wednesday night into Thursday night we’ll get a little more snow. ***
*** And then we’ll be dry for a while – ugh. ***
Forecast details…
Rest of Monday… Spotty snowshowers will taper off over the mountains this evening. Most of the snow is done, but the lucky spots in the mountains could get another inch. A few spotty snowflakes are possible in the Pagosa area, but I don’t expect any additional accumulation.
Tuesday into Wednesday evening… A transient ridge will give us dry weather. Patches of clouds will continue to move through our area.
Wednesday night into early Friday morning… Another disjointed low-pressure system will move through the region.
Timing… Scattered snowshowers will start over the mountains around midnight Wednesday and in the Pagosa area early Thursday morning. The best chance for snow is sunrise Thursday to sunset Thursday. Thursday night scattered snow showers will gradually decrease.
Snow amounts…
Pagosa area: 1-3”
Mountains: 3-7”
Friday through next week… A Rex block will set up over much of the west US. We’ll have lots of sun, light winds, and gradual warming.
Temps…
Monday night lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Tuesday, and Wednesday highs will be near 40 to the high 40s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
Thursday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be near 10 to near 20.
Friday and Saturday highs will be in the low to high 30s and night lows will be near zero to the low teens.
Sunday and next Monday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Winds…
Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph in the Pagosa area and around 25mph in the high country.
Thursday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph near Pagosa and 30-35mph in the high country.
Friday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph near Pagosa and around 25mph in the high country.
Saturday, Sunday, and next Monday afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph and 15-20mph in the high country.
13 Jan to 20 Jan… Most of this period will be dry but there are signs that the weather pattern will get more active towards the last 2 or 3 days.
Much of this is expected from the Wednesday night/Thursday system. Then it’s dry for 7-8 days, and then a little more precip is expected the last 2 or 3 days of this period.
The next post will be on Wednesday.
– Shawn
One Response
Hello:
Would you mind changing my Email address please?
Thanks,
Ruby