A colorful sunrise, a big bright moon, and Pagosa Weather mascot Tommy! – Pic taken 1/3/2026
Saturday – 3 Jan 2026 – 2:00pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Thursday: High: 40, Low: 30, Peak Wind: 8mph
Friday: High: 45, Low: 33, Peak Wind: 23mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 34 | 51 / 1981 | 0 | -32 / 1911 |
Precipitation summary… Wolf Creek Ski Area ended up with 5” of snow from the last storm.
Current satellite and radar…
The ridge, jagged blue line, will move to our east Saturday evening. The weak trough moving east into southern CA, will move through our area on Monday, but there won’t be much left of it.
There is nothing on radar in our area Saturday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Saturday afternoon through Sunday we’ll have variably cloudy skies and will stay dry. ***
*** Late Monday morning into early Tuesday morning there will be scattered showers and light precip amounts. ***
*** Wednesday afternoon into early Friday morning there’s a better chance for snow in Pagosa and the mountains. ***
*** Next weekend there will be lots of sun and light winds. ***
Forecast details…
Saturday afternoon through Sunday… The ridge will move to our east Saturday evening. Sunday more clouds will move in and there’s a slight chance for a spotty snowshower over the mountains.
A few lucky spots in the mountains could get an inch of snow Sunday, but don’t hold your breath.
Monday through Friday … The storm track will be in our “neighborhood”, and two low-pressure systems will impact us. Unfortunately, neither system is impressive.
Rough timing and snow amounts…
Storm 1 – Late Monday morning to early Tuesday morning
Pagosa area: a dusting of snow
Mountains: 1-2”
Storm 2 – Wednesday night to Friday morning
Pagosa area: 2-4”
Mountains: 5-10”
*** I’ll continue to adjust the details as the data gets better. ***
Friday afternoon through next weekend… A Rex block will set up. We’ll have lots of sun, light winds, and gradual warming.
Temps…
Saturday and Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday highs will be near 40 to the mid-40s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
Thursday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be near 10 to near 20.
Friday and next Saturday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be in the low single digits to low teens.
Winds…
Saturday and Sunday afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area. In the high country, afternoon gusts will be around 20mph.
Monday through Friday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph in the Pagosa area and 25-35mph in the high country.
Next weekend afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph and around 20mph in the high country.
The northern mountains will be favored (again).
Most of the snow is expected Wednesday night through Thursday night.
10 Jan to 18 Jan… Most of this period will be dry but there are signs that the weather pattern will get more active the last few days.
Precip amounts are trending down and sadly, I agree with that.
On the bottom, Pagosa Springs Euro ensemble 15-day snow shows 5.1”.
The next post will be on Monday.
– Shawn
