Sunny, warm, and dry for next 10 days…

Though it’s been dry, there have been just enough clouds for pretty sunrises and sunsets. – Pic taken 12/9/2025

Though it’s been dry, there have been just enough clouds for pretty sunrises and sunsets. – Pic taken 12/9/2025

Wednesday – 10 Dec 2025 – 2:00pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Monday: High: 45, Low: 10, Peak Wind: 6mph

Tuesday: High: 45, Low: 15, Peak Wind: 6mph

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4061 / 19818-26 / 1951

Precipitation summary… There has been no measurable precip.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Wednesday afternoon – The giant, blocking, evil high is forcing the storm track well to our north. An “atmospheric river” continues to flow into the Pacific Northwest.
Water vapor satellite Wednesday afternoon – The giant, blocking, evil high is forcing the storm track well to our north. An “atmospheric river” continues to flow into the Pacific Northwest.

There is nothing on radar in or area Wednesday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Lots of sun, mostly dry, and a warming trend the next 10 days and then hopefully a more active pattern. ***

Forecast details…

Rest of Wednesday through next Wednesday… A giant, blocking, evil ridge is forcing the storm track well to our north. We’ll have lots of sun and temps 10-15 degrees above average.

Temps…

Wednesday highs will be in the high 40s to the low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s..

Thursday through Monday will be near 50 to the mid-50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Tuesday and next Wednesday highs will be in the mid-40 to low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Winds…

Afternoon peak winds will be 10-15mph each day.

NBM precip to next Wednesday at 11pm – No precip is expected is for southern CO while northern CO could get a little.
NBM precip to next Wednesday at 11pm – No precip is expected is for southern CO while northern CO could get a little.

The 8-14 day period… The giant, nasty ridge might start breaking down around 20 Dec and allow a few systems to move through the Four Corners region. It doesn’t look too promising, but it’s better than nothing.

This is the 15-day ensemble precip totals for the four primary models. In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.54”” in the Pagosa area. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.50”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble 0.85”. In the bottom right, Canadian ensemble shows 1.21”.
This is the 15-day ensemble precip totals for the four primary models. In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.54”” in the Pagosa area. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.50”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble 0.85”. In the bottom right, Canadian ensemble shows 1.21”.
Euro ensemble 15-day snow for Wolf Creek shows 8.3”. Precip amounts are slowly trending up towards the end of the period.
Euro ensemble 15-day snow for Wolf Creek shows 8.3”. Precip amounts are slowly trending up towards the end of the period.

The next post will be on Friday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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