A sky full of clouds this morning – Photo taken 11/30/2025
Sunday – 30 Nov 2025 – 3:30pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Friday: High: 49, Low: 27, Peak Wind: 17mph
Saturday: High: 47, Low: 20, Peak Wind: 8mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 44 | 58 / 1956 | 10 | -14 / 1975 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
Forecast highlights…
*** There is a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the eastern San Juan Mountains above 10,000ft. This includes Wolf Creek Pass. Up to 12” of snow and wind gusts to 40mph are expected until 5am Monday. ***
*** Expect winter travel conditions Sunday afternoon through Monday morning. ***
*** Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning will be dry. ***
*** Potential for a little more snow late Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. ***
*** Next weekend looks dry. ***
Forecast details…
Rest of Sunday through Monday morning… A trough will dip into UT from the northwest and then move quickly through CO from the west. It’s not a favorable snow maker for us.
The good news is that temps will be chilly, and the snow level will be less than 7,000ft. In the mountains temps will be in the teens leading to 20:1 ratio powder that accumulates quickly.
Timing… In the Pagosa Springs area steady, mostly light snow with short bursts of moderate snow will fall until around midnight and then hit and miss snow showers will persist into early Monday morning. In the mountains moderate snow will fall into early Monday morning and then scattered showers are possible until around sunrise Monday.
Snow forecast…
Mountains: 6-10”
Pagosa area: 1-3”
Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning… A transient ridge and dry flow out of the northwest will give us dry weather and partly cloudy skies. Temps will be 5-10 degrees below average.
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning… Another fast-moving trough will move through the area from the northwest.
Snow amounts…
Mountains: 4-8”
Pagosa area: a dusting to 2”
Thursday afternoon through next weekend… A Rex block will set up off the southern West Coast and keep the dreaded, dry flow out of the northwest over us. Temps will slowly warm towards average.
Temps…
Sunday through Saturday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be near 10 to the low 20s.
Next Sunday highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will be in the low to high teens.
Winds…
Sunday afternoon winds will gust 15-20mph.
Monday through next weekend gusts will be 10-15mph.
The 8-14 day period… Upper level flow will remain in a La Nina-like pattern. The storm track over our region will be out of the northwest which means northern CO is favored and we get a few scraps.
The next post will be on Tuesday.
– Shawn
