Lots of sun and mostly dry for the next two weeks…

Cool clouds over the San Juan River in NM – pic taken 10/22/2025

Sunday – 26 Oct 2025 – 3:30pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Friday: High: 57, Low: 31, Peak Wind: 16mph

Saturday: High: 58, Low: 27, Peak Wind: 17mph

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
60	80 / 1943	23	9 / 1997

Precipitation summary… A little rain fell on Friday and then it was dry through the weekend.

CoCoRaHS 24-hour precip reports from Saturday morning ranged from zero to 0.14”. — *CoCoRaHS 24-hour precip reports from Saturday morning ranged from zero to 0.24”.* *Jeb was the rain lottery winner for his first time!*

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Sunday afternoon – There are a few clouds moving through our area from the west-northwest. An “atmospheric river” is funneling moisture across the Pacific NW. The ridge, jagged blue line, will keep the moisture to our north and we’ll stay dry. — Water vapor satellite Sunday afternoon – There are scattered clouds moving through our area from the west-northwest. An “atmospheric river” is funneling moisture across the Pacific NW. The ridge, jagged blue line, will keep the moisture to our north and we’ll stay dry.

There is nothing on radar in the Pagosa Springs area Sunday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Lots of sun, mostly dry, and temps near average for the next two weeks. ***

Forecast details…

Rest of Sunday through next Sunday… A trough will skirt well to our north Sunday night and Monday, so we’ll have partly cloudy skies and gusty afternoon winds. Otherwise ridging will give us lots of sun, dry weather, and temps near average.

Temps…

Saturday through Friday highs will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to the low 30s. On clear nights, the cold spots will dip into the low 20s.

Next weekend highs will be near 60 to the high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds…

Monday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph.

Tuesday through next weekend afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.

*NBM precip for this period shows none near Pagosa and a few spots of light precip along The Divide in our mountains. This is from the trough moving northern CO Sunday night and Monday.*

The 8-14 day period… A persistent ridge over the desert Southwest will keep the storm track to our north. The ridge might weaken towards the end of this period and allow a little bit of moisture to move into the region, but I’m skeptical. I expect lots of sun and mostly dry weather.

On the top, Euro ensemble precip to 10 Nov at 5am shows 0.17” in the Pagosa area. On the bottom, GFS ensemble precip shows 0.19”. I expect the storm track to stay to our north, and I very little precip during this period. — *On the top, Euro ensemble precip to 10 Nov at 5am shows 0.17” in the Pagosa area. On the bottom, GFS ensemble precip shows 0.19”.*
*I expect the storm track to stay to our north, and we’ll get very little precip during this period.*

Euro ensemble 15-day snow – This model shows 2.5” of snow for Wolf Creek over the next 15-days. It’s expected to fall the last few days of the period. — *Euro ensemble 15-day snow – This model shows 2.5” of snow for Wolf Creek over the next 15-days. The snow is expected to fall the last few days of the period.*

The next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Snowman Level Sponsors

Pagosa Weather Snowball Level Sponsors

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Support Pagosa Weather

Contact Us

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use Privacy Policy

Website Design by : Brandon