Fall colors are peaking near Lake City – pic taken 9/25/2025
Friday – 26 Sep 2025 – 6:45pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Wednesday: High: 69, Low: 33, Minimum relative humidity: 24%, Peak Wind: 17mph
Thursday: High: 74, Low: 34, Minimum relative humidity: 16%, Peak Wind: 17mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 70 | 81 / 1956 | 33 | 17 / 1930 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Fall colors…
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** Saturday, Sunday, and Monday there will be more clouds and scattered showers and thunderstorms. ***
*** Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday will be nice with cool mornings and pleasant afternoons. ***
Saturday, Sunday, and Monday… A cut-off low will slowly track through AZ and NM. There will be more moisture and instability, so we’ll see scattered afternoon and evening storms. *** Our best chance for showers is Saturday night into Sunday evening. ***
Precip amounts:
Valley: 0.20” to 0.40” of rain with lucky folks getting a little more
Mountains above 12,000ft: 1-3” of snow
Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday… A ridge will be to our east and a trough will skirt to our north. We’ll be in middle with not much going on. Expect scattered afternoon clouds and dry weather.
Next Friday and Saturday… A trough could dip far enough south to kick up a few showers and thunderstorms. Forecast confidence is low.
Temps…
Friday night lows will be in the mid-30s to low 40s. Cold spots will flirt with freezing temperatures.
Saturday highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.
Sunday and Monday highs will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.
Tuesday and Wednesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s.
Thursday and Friday highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the mid-30s to low 40s. Cold spots will flirt with freezing temperatures.
What is a “cold spot”? Cold spots are in low-lying areas where the coldest air sinks to. These areas can be 5 degrees colder than the slightly higher spots nearby. If your low temp is often just below my forecast low temperature range, then you live in a cold spot. *** To be safe, consider covering your sensitive plants. ***
Winds… Gusts each afternoon will mostly be around 20mph. As always, stronger isolated gusts are likely near a shower or thunderstorm.
The 8-14 day period… The models continue to flip-flop wildly for the 8-14 day period. We’re in the battleground between low pressure systems skirting to our north and the subtropical ridge trying to hang on to our south and southeast. It’s a typical transition season weather pattern. Stay tuned!
Unless something interesting pops up, the next post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
