Mostly dry through the weekend – more active Monday through Wednesday …

Fresh June snow on the mountains – pic taken 6/5/2025

Fresh June snow on the mountains – pic taken 6/5/2025

Friday – 6 Jun 2025 – 8:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Wednesday was 65, and on Thursday it was 66. The low this morning was 37. The cold spots were near freezing.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Wednesday was 17mph and on Thursday it was 22mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7592 / 19463424 / 1951

Precipitation summary… Precip amounts for the first five days of June look pretty good.

CoCoRaHS 5-day precip reports across Archuleta County range from 0.29” to 0.99”. A couple of lucky spots have already hit the June average of 0.93”.
CoCoRaHS 5-day precip reports across Archuleta County range from 0.29” to 0.99”. A couple of lucky spots have already hit the June average of 0.93”.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite loop Friday morning – The band of moisture has moved to our north. Drier, more stable air has moved into our area.
Water vapor satellite loop Friday morning – The band of moisture has moved to our north. Drier, more stable air has moved into our area.

There is nothing on radar in our area Friday morning.

Forecast highlights…

*** Slight chance for a spotty afternoon shower or thunderstorm through Sunday. ***

*** A better chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday. ***

*** And then warm and dry weather for a while, more typical for June. ***

Rest of Friday through next Thursday…. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday moisture will decrease but we’ll remain unstable. Expect just a few spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms mostly over the mountains.

Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday there will be a slight increase in moisture and instability leading to a better chance for scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Precip amounts each day through the weekend will mostly be zero.  A lucky spot or two could get up to 0.05”. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday up to 0.10” is possible each day.

Temps… Friday highs will be near 70 to the high 70s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s. For the rest of this period highs will be in the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows will be in the high 30s to high 40s.

Winds… Friday afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph. For the rest of this period afternoon gusts will be around 20mph, but isolated stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.

WPC precip to late Wednesday evening shows 0.25” in the Pagosa area and up to 0.75” in our mountains. This is all convective showery precip so amounts will vary considerably.
WPC precip to late Wednesday evening shows 0.25” in the Pagosa area and up to 0.75” in our mountains. This is all convective showery precip so amounts will vary considerably.

Thursday through next weekend… Drier, more stable air will move in. It will be warm with lots of sun, and dry weather.

Temps… Thursday and next Friday highs will be in the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows will be in the high 30s to high 40s. Saturday and Sunday highs will be in the high 70s to high 80s and lows will be near 40 to the high 40s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be around 20mph.

The 8-14 day period… More typical for this time of year, fairly stable and drier southwest flow will set up. There’s still a slight chance for a spotty afternoon shower or thunderstorm, but I expect most of us to stay dry.

The Euro ensemble precip to 20 Jun at 6pm on the top shows 0.28” for Pagosa and the GFS ensemble on the bottom shows 1.03”. That’s a big difference. Unfortunately I agree with the Euro.
The Euro ensemble precip to 20 Jun at 6pm on the top shows 0.28” for Pagosa and the GFS ensemble on the bottom shows 1.03”. That’s a big difference. Unfortunately I agree with the Euro.

The next post will be on Sunday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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