Happy Mother’s Day!…

Beautiful sunset last night – pic taken Laura Young on 5/10/2025

Beautiful sunset last night – pic taken Laura Young on 5/10/2025

Sunday – 11 May 2025 – 3:30pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Friday was 68, and on Saturday it was 66. The low this morning was 34. The cold spots dipped into the high 20s.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Friday was 24mph and on Saturday it was 17mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6780 / 19963015 / 1931

Precipitation summary… Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms hit parts of the county the last two afternoons.

CoCoRaHS 2-day precip reports range from a trace to 0.28”.
CoCoRaHS 2-day precip reports range from a trace to 0.28”.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite loop from 2:11pm to 3:06pm Sunday afternoon – The ridge has moved to our east. Those are mostly mid and high clouds with no precip. Drier, more stable southwest flow is moving into the Four Corners region.
Water vapor satellite loop from 2:11pm to 3:06pm Sunday afternoon – The ridge has moved to our east. Those are mostly mid and high clouds with no precip. Drier, more stable southwest flow is moving into the Four Corners region.
Radar at 3:12pm Sunday – There are a few weak showers to the north, but there is nothing in our area.
Radar at 3:12pm Sunday – There are a few weak showers to the north, but there is nothing in our area.

Forecast highlights…

*** Mostly dry for the next two weeks. ***

*** Gusty afternoon winds are back next week. ***

Rest of Sunday through Saturday… The ridge will move farther to our east, upper-level southwest flow with increase, and we’ll dry out. There’s a slight chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, mostly over the mountains. I think most of us will be dry.

Temps…

Lows Sunday night will be in the low to high 30s.

Monday highs will be near 70 to the high 70s and lows will be in the low to high 30s.

Tuesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

Wednesday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Thursday highs will be in the high 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Friday and Saturday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph.Tuesday and Wednesday the windy places will have gusts around 35mph.

WPC precip to late Saturday evening shows nothing for Archuleta County.
WPC precip to late Saturday evening shows nothing for Archuleta County.

The 8-14 day period… The weather pattern will get less active with just a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The models hint at a more organized system 18-20 May. Right now it looks pretty wimpy.

The Euro ensemble precip to 26 May at 6am on the top shows 0.32” for Pagosa and the GFS ensemble on the bottom shows 0.27”.
The Euro ensemble precip to 26 May at 6am on the top shows 0.32” for Pagosa and the GFS ensemble on the bottom shows 0.27”.

The next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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