A few spotty snowflakes Monday afternoon and evening…

Dusty and Precious would love to be part of your family!  Sadly their people had to go into assisted living. These wonderful pups are available for adoption at the Humane Society. 

Dusty and Precious would love to be part of your family!  Sadly their people had to go into assisted living. These wonderful pups are available for adoption at the Humane Society. 

Sunday – 8 Dec 2024 – 3:20pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Saturday was 48 and Sunday it was 45.  The low this morning was 18.  The cold spots dipped into the low teens.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Saturday was 8mph and on Sunday it was 7mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4256 / 19818-19 / 1909

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Forecast discussion…

Satellite Sunday afternoon – The main trough is draped across the northwestern states.  It doesn’t have much storm energy and moisture, so it won’t impact us much when it moves through Monday evening.
Satellite Sunday afternoon – The main trough is draped across the northwestern states.  It doesn’t have much storm energy and moisture, so it won’t impact us much when it moves through Monday evening.

There is nothing on radar in our area.

Forecast highlights…

*** A weak low-pressure system will move through Colorado on Monday. ***

*** Wind chills in the mountains will be below zero Monday and Tuesday. ***

*** Dry and sunny the rest of the week. ***

Rest of Sunday… The Rex block is finally breaking down. We’ll see a few more clouds tonight.

Winds… Afternoon winds will be 5-10mph.

Temps… Sunday night lows will be in the mid-teens to low 20s.

Monday through Tuesday morning… A low-pressure system will move through Colorado from the northwest.  It’s a weak system with limited storm energy and moisture, especially in our area.

The best chance for a few snowflakes is Monday afternoon into Monday evening.

Clouds will clear Monday night, and it will be cold Tuesday morning.

Snow levels… Snow levels will be 6,000ft or lower.

Snow amounts…

Mountains: A dusting to 2”

Valley: Zero to a dusting

Winds… Monday afternoon gusts will be 15-25mph.

Temps… Highs Monday afternoon will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows Monday will be in the low single digits to low teens.

The official NWS snow shows a dusting along the mountains, and 1-2” near Wolf Creek.
The official NWS snow shows a dusting along the mountains, and 1-2” near Wolf Creek.
Be careful if you have to drive east Monday afternoon into Tuesday morning.

Tuesday afternoon through Saturday… A ridge will build over the region.  We’ll have lots of sun and a gradual warming trend.

Winds… Afternoon peaks will be around 10mph.

Temps… Highs Tuesday will be in the low to high 30s and lows Tuesday night will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens. Highs Wednesday will be in the high 30s to high 40s and lows will be in the high single digits to high teens. Highs Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to low 20s.

Sunday and Monday… Another weak low-pressure system could move through. Details are still fuzzy, but it doesn’t look impressive.

The 8-14 day period… I don’t see any significant storms on the horizon. We need some snow dances!

The Climate Prediction Center 8-14 day precip outlook expects a 40-50% chance of below average precip.  I think it’s more like 75%.
The Climate Prediction Center 8-14 day precip outlook expects a 40-50% chance of below average precip.  I think it’s more like 75%.

My next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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