We’ve had a great view of the comet the last few evenings – pic taken 10/14/2024
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Wednesday – 16 Oct 2024 – 12:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature Tuesday was 68. The low last night was 39.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Tuesday was 25mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 64 | 78 / 1958 | 26 | 11 / 1956 |
Precipitation summary… Most of the reports this morning had zero or a trace. A few spots in the eastern part of the county got 0.01” and 0.02”.
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night occasional rainshowers and an isolated thunderstorm or two. ***
*** Thursday through Sunday evening SIGNIFICANT SNOW is possible for the mountains. The valley will get a little snow too. ***
Rest of Wednesday… A weak trough will move though our area this evening. There is enough moisture and storm energy to kick up scattered showers and a thunderstorm or two this afternoon and into the late evening.
The mountains above 10,500ft will get 1-3” of snow.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 15-25mph.
Temps… Wednesday highs will be in the high 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Thursday through Sunday… A trough will move through Thursday and then a low-pressure system is expected to spin over the Four Corners region Friday through Sunday. Waves of storm energy and moisture will move through our area and kick up showers and an occasional thunderstorm. Precip will be heavy at times.
Timing…
Showers will develop over the mountains early Thursday morning and then over the valley after sunrise and persist into Thursday evening. An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible in the afternoon.
There will be a lull Thursday night with a few scattered showers mostly over the mountains.
Friday morning into Sunday evening the low will spin over AZ and send waves of showers and an occasional thunderstorm our way. Snow will fall heavily in the mountains at times.
Snow levels…
Thursday into the evening: 10,500-11,000ft
Thursday night: 10,500ft dropping to 10,000ft by sunrise Friday
Friday during the day: around 9,500-10,000ft
Friday night: 8,500-9000ft
Saturday during the day: 8,500-9,000ft
Saturday night: 8,000-8,500ft
Sunday during the day: around 8,500ft
Sunday night: 7,500-8000ft
Forecast snow amounts:
Mountains above 11,500ft: 24-36”
Mountains 10,000-11,500ft: 16” to 24”
Valley above 8,500ft: 2” to 4”
Valley 8,000-8,500ft: up to 2”
Valley below 8,000ft: up to a half inch
Winds… Thursday evening through Friday afternoon occasional gusts in the 20-30mph range. Saturday and Sunday gusts will be 15-20mph.
Temps… Thursday and Friday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s. Lows Thursday night will be in the low to high 30s. Friday night lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Saturday highs will be in the high 40s to high 50s. Friday lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Saturday highs will be in the mid-40 to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s. Sunday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
San Juan mountains above 11,500ft could get 3 FEET of snow.
Monday and beyond… Ridging will build back over the region. We’ll have lots of sun, dry weather, breezy afternoons, and temps will rebound back towards seasonal averages.
The next forecast post will be on Thursday.
– Shawn
One Response
Awesome pic…guess we won’t see that tonight…lol!! BTW….any updates on the new radar machine in Durango?