Conditions over Archuleta County are considered “abnormally dry”.
Monday – 2 July 2024 – 6:15pm
June summary…
The average high for June is 78 and the average low is 36. The record high of 101 occurred on 30 June 1934. The record low of 20 occurred on 2 June 1908. Precip averages 0.93″ in June with zero snow. June is our driest month. Wolf Creek Pass averages 1.74″ of precip and 1.2″ of snow.
At Stevens Field the highest temp in June was 89 on the 13th and the lowest temp was 40 on the 2nd and 3rd.
How did we do?
Drought, River Flow, and Lake Levels…
July outlook…
The average high for July is 83 and the average low is 44. The record high of 99 occurred on 7 July 1989. The record low of 24 occurred on 5 July 1912. Precip averages 2.01″ in July with zero snow. Wolf Creek Pass averages 3.61″ of precip and zero snow.
The precip outlook on the right expects “equal chances” for average precip.
And what do we expect?
Arleen is the expert, and this is what she says…
My precipitation forecast for the month of June was off but in the best possible way. I expected us to get average precipitation. Some folks had nearly four times the average precipitation!
For the July outlook, the monsoon pattern is set up with a large ridge over the southern plains. Low level moisture has been advecting around the ridge resulting in a wetter than average pattern. However, the polar front jet is still active across the central states. A deep trough will transition across the country, shearing the ridge and allowing another ridge to build on the west coast – not good for us.
It will take a good ten days for the subtropical ridge to build over the southern states, again. This will lead to a warm and dry first part of the month. As the ridge rebuilds to our east for the last half of the month, our normal monsoon pattern will return.
For July I expect us to get above average precipitation. Bear in mind that the Gulf area should have a very active tropical storm season this year. If we get remnants of another tropical storm, we could see larger precipitation numbers again. With the warm start of the month, I expect to finish July with slightly above average temperatures.
A HUGE thanks for your precip reports and pictures! Reports help verify our forecasts and make us better forecasters.
Another HUGE thanks to our donors and sponsors! You help cover the cost of this web page and our weather subscriptions, necessary to provide you accurate weather reports!
- Shawn
