A little bit of precip Monday and windy …

Arleen and Tommy making the most out of this beautiful spring day – Pic taken 4/13/2024

Arleen and Tommy making the most out of this beautiful spring day – Pic taken 4/13/2024

 If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!

Saturday – 13 Apr 2024 – 4:45pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature this afternoon was 65 and the low this morning was 38.

The peak wind at the airfield today was 24mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5874/ 1988238 / 1980

Precipitation summary… Spotty raindrops fell in a few parts of the valley and a few snowflakes fell in the high country, but there was no measurable precip.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite this afternoon … The ridge, jagged blue line, is nearly over our heads Saturday afternoon. The low-pressure system off the CA coast will move through our area on Monday.
Water vapor satellite this afternoon … The ridge, jagged blue line, is nearly over our heads Saturday afternoon. The low-pressure system off the CA coast will move through our area on Monday.

There is nothing on radar in our area this afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** A little precip and gusty winds with a low-pressure system on Monday  ***

*** Rest of the week will be dry with pleasant spring temps and breezy afternoons. ***

Saturday afternoon through Sunday evening… A transient ridge will keep us mostly sunny and dry through Sunday evening.

Winds… Saturday and Sunday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph.

Temps… Highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the low 60s to low 70s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Monday … A weak system will move through. There will be more clouds, gusty winds, and spotty showers. The best chance for showers is Monday afternoon. The snow level will be around 8,000ft and temps will be above freezing.  I don’t expect any snow to accumulate in the valley and 1-2” is possible in the mountains.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 25-35mph.

Temps… Highs will be in the mid-40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.

NWS forecast precip model to 6am Tuesday shows a trace along our mountains, and up 0.10” in our mountains. This storm favors the northern mountains. This looks reasonable to me.
NWS forecast precip model to 6am Tuesday shows a trace along our mountains, and up 0.10” in our mountains. This storm favors the northern mountains. This looks reasonable to me.
NWS forecast snow model to 6am Tuesday shows none near Pagosa, and 1-2” in our mountains.
NWS forecast snow model to 6am Tuesday shows none near Pagosa, and 1-2” in our mountains.
NBM wind gusts at 3pm Monday shows 32mph near Pagosa, over 50mph along our mountain ridges, and 51mph near Alamosa.
NBM wind gusts at 3pm Monday shows 32mph near Pagosa, over 50mph along our mountain ridges, and 51mph near Alamosa.

Tuesday through Friday… Upper-level flow will be mostly “flat” – west to east, and fairly dry. Expect partly cloudy skies, gusty afternoon winds, and dry weather.

Winds… Tuesday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph. Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday afternoon gusts will be 20-30mph.

Temps… Tuesday highs will be in the high 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s. The rest of the period highs will be in the low 60s to low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s.

My next forecast post will be Sunday afternoon.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Picture of Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon