Windy the next few days and then some precip Sunday and Monday …

Fly-fishing was slow up at Williams today! – pic taken 3/28/2024

Fly-fishing was slow up at Williams today! – pic taken 3/28/2024

 If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!

Thursday – 28 Mar 2024 – 3:00pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 44 and the low this morning was 21. The cold spots dipped into the low teens.

The peak wind at the airfield yesterday was 21mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5170/ 198619-8 / 1930

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite this afternoon… The ridge, jagged blue line, has moved to our east. The trough, yellow dashed line, will stay to our north. The low off the Pacific NW coast will sink south over the next few days and result in more clouds and precip Sunday and Monday.
Water vapor satellite this afternoon… The ridge, jagged blue line, has moved to our east. The trough, yellow dashed line, will stay to our north. The low off the Pacific NW coast will sink south over the next few days and result in more clouds and precip Sunday and Monday.

There is nothing on radar in our region this afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Windy Friday, Saturday, and Sunday afternoons. ***

*** Next system will move through Sunday and Monday. ***

Rest of Thursday through Saturday evening… The ridge will be just to our east so upper-level southwest flow will increase.  We’ll see a few more clouds and there’s a slight chance for a shower over the mountains tonight and tomorrow.

Temps and winds will gradually increase through the period.

Winds… Afternoon gusts Thursday will be 15-20mph. Afternoon gusts Friday and Saturday will be 20-30mph.

Temps… Lows Thursday night will be in the low 20s to low 30s. Highs Friday and Saturday will be in the high 40s to high 50s. Lows Friday night will be in the low 20s to low 30s. Lows Saturday night will be in the low to high 30s.

Sunday through Monday… The next system will move through.

Timing… The first scattered showers will start over the mountains early Sunday morning and then over the valley early Sunday afternoon. The best chance for precip is Sunday evening to Monday evening. Hit and miss showers will persist into Tuesday evening.

Snow levels… Will be around 8,000ft early Sunday morning into Sunday evening. By midnight Sunday, snow levels will drop to 8,000ft, drop to around 6,000ft by sunrise Monday, and then pop up to 7,200ft by Monday afternoon.

Snow amounts…

Valley: 1-3”

Mountains: 6-12”

Winds… Sunday afternoon gusts will be 25-35mph in the valley and 45-55mph in the mountains. Sunday evening to Monday evening gusts will be 15-20mph.

Temps… Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows Sunday night will be around 30 to the mid-30s. Monday highs will be in the low to mid-40s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

NBM snow to Tuesday at 6am shows 1.6” near Pagosa, 2.5” near Chama, 0.3” for Bayfield, and 10-15” in our mountains.
NBM snow to Tuesday at 6am shows 1.6” near Pagosa, 2.5” near Chama, 0.3” for Bayfield, and 10-15” in our mountains.

Tuesday and Wednesday… Ridging will take over and give us lots of sun and pleasant spring temps.

Winds… Afternoon peaks will be 10-15mph.

Temps… Highs Tuesday will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the high teens to mid-20s. Highs Wednesday will be in the low to high 60s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Unless something pops up, my next post will be on Saturday.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Picture of Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon