Pagosa Weather FEBRUARY SUMMARY & March Outlook

Snowpack percent of average on 29 Feb 2024

Snowpack percent of average on 29 Feb 2024

Sunday – 3 Mar 2024 – 7:00pm

February summary…

The average high for February is 42 and the average low is 9. The record high of 60 occurred on 27 February 1988. The record low of -39 occurred on 1 February 1916. Precip averages 2.02″ in February with 18.9″ of snow. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.30″ of precip and 68.7″ of snow.

The observed high temperature at Stevens Field for February was 52 on 25 Feb and the observed low temperature was 7 on 28 Feb.

How did we do?

February mean temperature anomalies for Archuleta County were 3-5 degrees above normal.
February mean temperature anomalies for Archuleta County were 3-5 degrees above normal.

February mean precip anomalies were 110-130% of average for most of Archuleta County.
February mean precip anomalies were 110-130% of average for most of Archuleta County.

CoCoRaHS precip totals ranged from 1.64" to 2.75". 15 out of 19 locations measured more than the average of 2.02".
CoCoRaHS precip totals ranged from 1.64″ to 2.75″. 15 out of 19 locations measured more than the average of 2.02″.

We got 3.88" of precip so far in 2024 - below the average of 4.10"
We got 3.88″ of precip so far in 2024 – below the average of 4.10″

CoCoRaHS snow totals ranged from 5.4" to 27.7". 5 out of 19 locations reported more than the average of 18.9″.
CoCoRaHS snow totals ranged from 5.4″ to 27.7″. 5 out of 19 locations reported more than the average of 18.9″.

We’ve received 54.7″ of snowfall so far this year – well below the average of 79.7″
We’ve received 54.7″ of snowfall so far this year – well below the average of 79.7″

Wolf Creek Ski Area got 74″ of snow in February – 5″ more than average. So far this season 238″ has fallen – 67" less than av
Wolf Creek Ski Area got 74″ of snow in February – 5″ more than average.
So far this season 238″ has fallen – 67″ less than average

Snowpack and Drought…

Colorado snowpack on the left and West US on the right 29 Feb 2024
Colorado snowpack on the left and West US on the right on 29 Feb 2024

The Upper San Juan snotel is 83% of average and Wolf Creek Summit is 88% of average
The Upper San Juan snotel is 83% of average and Wolf Creek Summit is 88% of average
Most of Archuleta County has improved from “moderate” drought to “abnormally dry” over the last month.
Most of Archuleta County has improved from “moderate” drought to “abnormally dry” over the last month.

March outlook…

The average high for February is 49 and the average low is 15. The record high of 73 occurred on 19 March 1907. The record low of -25 occurred on 1 March 1913. Precip averages 1.77″ in March with 15.1″ of snow. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.90″ of precip and 75.7″ of snow.

The CPC temp outlook for March on the left expects "equal chances" for average temps. The precip outlook on the right is “leaning” towards above average precip
The CPC temp outlook for March on the left expects “equal chances” for average temps.
The precip outlook on the right is “leaning” towards above average precip.
Euro ensemble precip on the left expects 2.67" of precip for March and the GFS ensemble precip on the right expects 3.83" - both are above the average of 1.77".
Euro ensemble precip on the left expects 2.67″ of precip for March and the GFS ensemble precip on the right expects 3.83″ – both are above the average of 1.77″.

And what do we expect?

Arleen is the expert, and this is what she says…

March starts transition season. We’re tipping back toward the sun. Days are longer and the polar front jet starts to migrate north. March is going to be an active month with multiple fast moving systems moving through the area. Now, they just need to move in from the right direction, not too far north, not too far south. We’ll have average precipitation and average snowfall. Temperatures will be average overall. Spring is “yo-yo season” in Colorado. One day it’s cool and snowy, and the next it’s warm and sunny. If you don’t like the weather, just wait a few minutes and it will change!

A HUGE thanks for your precip reports and pictures! Reports help verify our forecasts and make us better forecasters.

Another HUGE thanks to our donors and sponsors! You help cover the cost of this web page and our weather subscriptions, necessary to provide you accurate weather reports!

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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