Hello Beautiful Blue Bird Days!

O’Neal Park cooled to 40F.  That combined with moisture from melting yesterday and resulted in areas of fog and beautiful hoar frost on the trees.

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Monday – 12 Feb 2024 – 5:30pm

After replenishing our snow, the pause button has been punched for this week.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 34 and this afternoon it has been 37.  The low this morning was 9. The cold spots dropped to zero.

The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon has been 6mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4259 / 19676-13 / 1966

Precipitation summary… There hasn’t been any sort of precipitation in the last 24 hours.

Forecast discussion…

12 Feb 24 Sat

Water vapor satellite this afternoon – there is a weak ridge to our west that is allowing some intermittent moisture to spill over it.  Both on Wednesday and again on Friday we could see a weak trof move through giving us more clouds and very isolated snow showers.

There is nothing on radar in our area this afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** Mostly sunny with near average temps the rest of the week. ***

*** More active weather pattern starting next week. ***

Monday afternoon through Friday… Ridging will take over and give us lots of sun and near average temps.  A weak trof slips over the ridge approaching us from the northwest on Wednesday and Friday so will see a few more clouds those afternoons before the ridge builds back in.  We could see an isolated snowshower over the mountains on Wednesday and Friday and Wolf Creek could pick up a few inches of snow, too.

Winds… Peaks will be around 10mph each afternoon.

Temps…  Highs Monday through Friday will be in the upper-30s to mid 40s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.

12 Feb 24 Precip
The Euro model for precip shows just very weak area of precipitation in the area over the next 5 days.

Monday and beyond… The weather pattern will get more active. Details are a little hazy at this time.  Hopefully it is more in focus on Wednesday.

I’ll have my next update out late Wednesday afternoon.  In the meantime get out and play in the snow under the big beautiful blue skies!

– Arleen

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I grew up in Montana where my love of the mountains is rooted. I was in the Air Force, forecasting aviation weather, for 24 years. I had eight assignments and my favorites were Colorado, Alaska, Korea, and Germany. I deployed a number of times including to Iraq and Afghanistan. After RV traveling for nine years, we found paradise in Pagosa. Here we enjoy playing outside in the spectacular San Juan mountains!
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