The boy in his element! – Pic taken 8 Feb 2024
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Friday – 9 Feb 2024 – 1:00pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 31 and the low this morning was 18.
The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 12mph but data was missing overnight. Our peak wind just north of Turkey Springs was 25mph around midnight.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 41 | 56 / 1970 | 6 | -26 / 1989 |
Precipitation summary… Snow picked up late yesterday afternoon and fell into the early morning hours. Reports this morning varied from 2” to 8”.
Wolf Creek reported another 14” in the last 24 hours bringing their storm total to 42”.
THANKS so much for your reports!
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** AVALANCHE danger in the San Juan mountains is rated “HIGH” above treeline and “CONSIDERABLE” near treeline and below. ***
*** A little more snow Saturday and then dry the rest of the week. ***
Friday afternoon through Saturday… Residual moisture and instability will continue to kick up a few snowshowers this afternoon, but they won’t amount to much.
The next trough will move through from the northwest which isn’t favorable for us. Additionally, storm energy and moisture are weak, so my expectations are low.
The best chance for snowshowers is early Saturday morning and then again Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Showers will be hit and miss.
Snow amounts…
Valley: a dusting to 2” – it will be spotty
Mountains: 3-5”
Winds… Peaks will be 10-15mph both afternoons.
Temps… Highs Friday afternoon will be in the high 20s to mid-30s and lows Friday night will be in the high single digits to high teens. Highs Saturday afternoon will be in the low to high 30s and lows Saturday night will be around zero to the low teens.
Sunday through Friday… Ridging will gradually take over. Sunday there will still be lingering clouds and a few spotty snowshowers, mostly over the mountains. The lucky spots in the mountains could get up to an inch of additional snow.
Monday through Friday there will be fewer clouds and it will remain dry.
Winds… Peaks Sunday afternoon will be 10-15mph. Peaks the rest of the period will be around 10mph.
Temps… Highs Sunday afternoon will be in the low to high 30s and lows Sunday night will be in the negative mid-single digits to high single digits. Highs Monday and Tuesday will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens. Highs Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday will be near 40 to the mid-40s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.
Unless I see a big change to the forecast, my next update will be on Sunday. I’ll include a thorough storm summary with “before and after” snowpack data.
– Shawn
