Time for a snow dance!

Time to wash your cars and do your best snow dance!

Wednesday 11-22-2023. 8:20am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 48 degrees and the low this morning was 21 degrees. Winds gusted to 8mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 33% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize over the past 24hrs!

Pagosa Springs historical data for November 22th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4660/ 198912-8/ 1985

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

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Travel forecast graphic courtesy of the Grand Junction NWS.

Forecast discussion…

While winter storm watches and warnings have not been issued yet, please note that travel on Friday, Friday night and Saturday morning could be challenging, especially at Wolf Creek Pass! We will post watches and warnings as they are issued. As we near this snow event, forecast snow totals will be fluctuating, so please check out our daily reports for any changes.

Look for dry and mostly sunny today and tomorrow before an upper-level low pressure develops to our west, switching our upper-level winds to the SW and giving us a good chance for snow from early Friday morning through Saturday. Snow levels will stay at or below 7000 with this next system, so any precipitation should fall as snow. Along with a good chance for snow, a cold front will move through on Friday night, keeping our highs only in the 30’s and lows by Sunday in the single digits!

Screenshot 2023 11 22 080542
An upper-level low pressure will form to our westthen move east from Friday-Saturday. That will switch our upper-level winds into the SW and increase our snow chances from early Friday-Saturday.
404296065 731088819047190 1595141994113821924 n 1
NBM 1
The latest NBM model is forecasting 8.1 inches of snow from Thursday night through Saturday evening.
Euro 1
The latest Euro model is forecasting 8 inches of snow from Thursday night through Saturday evening.
NWS
The latest NWS model is forecasting 6 inches of snow from Thursday night through Saturday morning.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of today: Mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 50’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 15mph.

Thursday night: Cloudy with a chance for snow starting around midnight. Lows in the 20’s. 0-1 inches of snow for the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a good chance for snow. Lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. 2-4 inches of snow for the valley and 4-8 inches for the mountains. Winds SW 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph.

Friday night-Saturday morning: A good chance for snow, heavy at times. 3-5 inches for the valley and 5-10 inches for the mountains.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers, mainly in the morning. Lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the low to mid 30’s. 1-2 inches of snow for the valley and 2-4 inches for the mountains. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 15mph.

Snow totals from Thursday night-Saturday: 6-10 inches for the valley and 12-24 inches for the mountains.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with lows in the single digits to low teens and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 20mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits to low teens and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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One Response

  1. Woot woot Im dancin in TX ….Goooooo Pegosa get that lovely white snow. Exciting times here for us…so dancin away here

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