Happy Thanksgiving! The calm before the storm…

Happy thanksgiving!

Having some fun with AI to create this image!

Thursday 11-23-2023. 8am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 50 degrees and the low this morning was 22 degrees. Winds gusted to 7mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 32% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize over the past 24hrs!

Pagosa Springs historical data for November 23th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4766/ 194312-2/ 1972

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Current Weather Watches, warnings and advisories!

Screenshot 2023 11 23 063643
Winter Weather Advisories for areas in blue and Warnings in pink.

Pagosa Springs:

…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 11 AM MST SATURDAY… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts up to 12 inches possible. * WHERE…San Juan River Basin. * WHEN…From 5 AM Friday to 11 AM MST Saturday. * IMPACTS…Plan on slippery road conditions. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Wolf Creek Pass:

...WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM MST SATURDAY… * WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 2 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet County. * WHEN…From midnight tonight to 11 AM MST Saturday. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible.

Forecast discussion…

Look for a dry and mostly sunny day as an upper-level low pressure drops south out of Idaho into Nevada today. It will then move SE into Utah tomorrow, then east over Colorado on Saturday. As it moves closer to us, it will switch our upper-level winds into the SW and increase our snow chances from early Friday morning-Saturday morning. Snow levels will stay at or below 7000 with this next system, so any precipitation should fall as snow. Along with a good chance for snow, a cold front will move through on Friday night, keeping our highs only in the 30’s and lows by Sunday in the single digits!

Screenshot 2023 11 23 071727 2
An upper-level low pressure will drop south out of Idaho into Nevada, then move SE into Utah, eventually moving east over Colorado on Saturday. That will switch our upper-level winds into the SW and increase our snow chances from early Friday-Saturday morning. Areas in white tones represent moisture in the mid-levels of the atmosphere.
StormTotalSnowWeb1 CO
StormTotalSnowWeb GJ
Screenshot 2023 11 23 064608
The latest NWS model is forecasting 12 inches of snow from tonight through Saturday morning.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of today: Partly cloudy, becoming mostly cloudy during the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 15mph.

Tonight: Cloudy with a chance for snow starting around midnight. Lows in the 20’s. 0-1 inches of snow for the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a good chance for snow, heavy at times. Lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the low to mid 30’s. 4-6 inches of snow for the valley and 6-10 inches for the mountains. Winds SW 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph.

Friday night-Saturday morning: A good chance for snow, heavy at times. 4-8 inches for the valley and 9-13 inches for the mountains.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers, mainly in the morning. Lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the low to mid 30’s. 1/2-1 inches of snow for the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 15mph.

Snow totals from Thursday night-Saturday: 8-14 inches for the valley and 17-27 inches for the mountains.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with lows in the single digits to low teens and highs in the low to mid 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits to low teens and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits to low teens and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

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