Next storm turning into a dud!

Horseshoe Bend

From a photo trip a few years ago to Horseshoe Bend, on the outskirts of Page, AZ. © 2019-Mark Langford

Thursday – 27 April. 2023 – 9:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 57 and the low this morning was 27 degrees. Winds gusted to 30mph.

Precipitation summary: Most of us reported either zero or a trace of rain/Graupel from some showers yesterday.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6176/ 19542611/ 1951

Come join us on Friday for an evening with Climate and Weather Experts at 6pm at the CSU Extension Building at 344 HWY 84. Arleen will be there along with Peter Goble-Climatologist and Water Availability Specialist.

CSU ClimateWorshop
Screenshot 2023 04 27 084149
Our next front arrives tomorrow morning, but most of the moisture will stay east of us.

Forecast discussion…

A nice day ahead with mostly sunny skies and relatively light winds. A cold front moves through tonight, but looking at the latest forecasts and model data, will generally arrive dry. We may see a few flurries overnight and tomorrow morning, but as of this post, the moisture from this system will stay to the east and NE of us. High pressure moves in for the weekend and we could see our first 70-degree temperatures as early as Sunday. That could prompt some upper-elevation snow melt, so we will need to keep an eye on nearby river flows.

StormTotalSnow GJT 3
The latest “lack of snow” forecast from Grand Junction NWS for Friday. 
Screenshot 2023 04 27 082821
The latest NWS 3-Day precipitation forecast for Pagosa Springs now pretty much nada! This is for tomorrow morning’s storm.
20230425 co trd
The latest drought update was released today and as you can see, the western side of Colorado is in great shape!

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with highs in the low 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. NE winds 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. A tiny chance for snow showers in the morning.

Snow amount:

Valley below 8000 feet: 0-Trace

Mountains above 10,000ft: 1/2-2”

Saturday: Mostly sunny with lows in the mid 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Sunday-Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph. A tiny chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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