70’s by Sunday!

Climate Workshop

Come join us on Friday for an evening with Climate and Weather Experts at 6pm at the CSU Extension Building at 344 HWY 84. Arleen will be there along with Peter Goble-Climatologist and Water Availability Specialist.

Friday – 28 April. 2023 – 8:45am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 65 and the low this morning was 37 degrees. Winds gusted to 29mph.

Precipitation summary: Most of us reported either zero or a trace of precipitation from this morning’s showers. Looking at Wolf Creek Pass traffic cam images, it appears they could have had 1-2 inches of snow overnight.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6176/ 19922614/ 1991

Forecast discussion…

As expected, moisture from today’s cold front stayed to our east and NE, with the exception of Wolf Creek Pass, which appears to have gotten 1-2 inches of snow overnight. High pressure moves in for the weekend and we could see our first 70-degree temperatures as early as Sunday. That could prompt some upper-elevation snow melt, so we will need to keep an eye on nearby river flows. There is a tiny chance for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, but as of this post, the upcoming week looks mainly dry.

Screenshot 2023 04 25 171751
The latest CPC forecast for May is pretty much a flip of the coin for precipitation and temperatures.
Screenshot 2023 04 28 081643
The latest GFS extended forecast hints at a pattern change around the middle of May, leaning towards a wet second half of the month.
Screenshot 2023 04 28 081424
Always take long-range forecasts with a grain of salt, but the latest long-range Euro model looks promising for a fairly wet May.
gfs ensemble extended all avg cw total precip inch 5577600
Always take long-range forecasts with a grain of salt, but the latest long-range GFS model also looks promising for a fairly wet May.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 50’s. North winds 10-15mph with gusts to 30mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with lows in the mid 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Sunday-Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Tuesday-Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph. A tiny chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2023 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon