Wimpy ending to latest storm…another chance on Friday.

Peak

A peaceful morning along Coyote Loop Trail as a few cumulus clouds drift over Pagosa Peak. Photo ©2023-Mark Langford

Wednesday – 26 April. 2023 – 9:45am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 56 and the low this morning was 28 degrees. Winds gusted to 39mph.

Precipitation summary: Mainly trace amounts of snow overnight, with the exception of 0.30 in Chromo. Three-day rainfall totals were pretty close to forecasts with most of us recording around a tenth of an inch from this storm. Looking at Wolf Creek Pass road cam images, it looks like they may have gotten a couple inches of snow.

Today
24hr. precipitation ranged from zero to 0.02 inches of liquid.
Snow 1
Snow totals this morning ranged from zero to 0.30 in Chromo.
3day
Three-day rainfall totals ranged from 0.06 to 0.17 inches.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6274/ 19962612/ 1964

Come join us on Friday for an evening with Climate and Weather Experts at 6pm at the CSU Extension Building at 344 HWY 84. Arleen will be there along with Peter Goble-Climatologist and Water Availability Specialist.

CSU ClimateWorshop
Screenshot 2023 04 26 090528
The low pressure has moved to our SE and will continue moving away from us today. We could see a few wrap-around showers, but odds are low.

Forecast discussion…

The low pressure has moved to our SE and will continue moving away from us today. We could see a few wrap-around showers, but odds are low. Look for a break in our weather through Thursday, then a 12-hr window for a chance for snow showers in the morning, and rain and thunderstorms in the afternoon as a trough moves through. By this weekend, high pressure will take over and we will see our afternoon temperatures rebound into the mid to upper 60’s. At this point, I see a rain break through at least the first week of May.

StormTotalSnow GJT 2
The latest snow forecast from Grand Junction NWS for Friday. 
Screenshot 2023 04 26 084024
The latest NWS 3-Day precipitation forecast for Pagosa Springs is 0.08 inches. This is for Friday’s storm.
Screenshot 2023 04 26 084108
We might see a dusting of snow in Pagosa Springs on Friday, but it will not amount to much. Our mountains could see 4 inches.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 50’s. NE winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph. A tiny chance for some scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. NE winds 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. A chance for snow showers in the morning and rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Rainfall amounts: 0.05-0.10

Snow amount:

Valley below 8000 feet: 0-Trace

Mountains above 10,000ft: 2-4”

Saturday: Mostly sunny with lows in the mid 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Sunday-Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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