Some wind, showers, thunder and light snow!

Glacier

What seems like a new glacier behind the north side of our home, continues to hang in there, despite our warming temperatures…it will be interesting to see how far into May this snow blob will last!

Tuesday – 25 April. 2023 – 9:am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 53 and the low this morning was 32 degrees. Winds gusted to 12mph.

Precipitation summary: Showers were spotty yesterday and some of us saw some Graupel and light snow along with the showers. Liquid totals are actually doing better than forecast so far and we still have another 24-hrs of precipitation chances.

Screenshot 2023 04 25 080810
24hr. precipitation ranged from zero to 0.13 inches of liquid.
Snow
Snow totals this morning ranged from a trace to two tenths of an inch.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6275/ 19812511/ 1960
Screenshot 2023 04 24 074745
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY ABOVE 10000 FEET… * WHAT…Snow expected above 10000 feet. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.
Screenshot 2023 04 25 081350
A low pressure and an associated cold front moving our way will give us a chance for precipitation from today through tomorrow .

Forecast discussion…

A cut-off low and associated cold front are heading our way today, moving SE from NE Utah. Look for showers and a chance for thunderstorms ahead of this system, then a chance for more showers and some light snow tonight as the colder air moves through. Snow levels will rise to 9000 feet during the day, then drop pretty quickly to under 7000 feet with the arrival of the front after sunset. As the low sweeps to our east tomorrow, there will continue to be a chance for wrap-around snow showers in the morning and showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. High pressure moves in for the remainder of the week, although there is a tiny chance for precipitation on Friday.

StormTotalSnow 3
The latest snow forecast from Grand Junction NWS
Screenshot 2023 04 25 075445
The latest NWS 3-Day precipitation forecast for Pagosa Springs is 0.06 inches.
Screenshot 2023 04 25 075535
We might see measurable snow in Pagosa Springs over the next 24 hours, but it will not amount to much.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. SW winds 15-25mph with gusts to 35mph. Chance for showers and thunderstorms during the day and rain/snow mix and snow in the evening. Snow levels dropping to below 7000 feet during the night, but only light snow totals forecast.

Snow amounts…

Valley below 8000 feet: 0-1/2 inch

Mountains above 10,000ft: 4-8”

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 50’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph. A slight chance for some scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs upper 50’s to low 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph. A slight chance for some scattered showers in the morning.

Saturday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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