Our little ephemeral creek came to life in the last week – Pics taken on 14 and 20 Apr
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Thursday – 20 Apr 2023 – 12:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 52 and the low this morning was 24. Our low was 19 at the southern end of O’Neal Park.
Stevens Field wind data is back – yay! Their peak wind Tuesday afternoon was 43mph and Wednesday afternoon it was 47mph. Our peak wind Tuesday afternoon was 39mph and Wednesday afternoon it was 40mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 61 | 78 / 1989 | 25 | 11 / 1941 |
Precipitation summary… A few spots got a few snowflakes yesterday but there was no measurable precip reported.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing significant on radar in our region this afternoon.
Important highlights…
*** Cooler temps have resulted in another lull in run-off. ***
River flow…
On 18 Apr Navajo Reservoir had an inflow of 6,022cfs, an outflow of 298cfs, and it rose 1.06 feet. On 19 Apr it had an inflow of 5,657, an outflow of 301cfs, and rose 0.98 feet. It has risen 21 feet since its low at the end of February!
Today through Sunday… Drier and more stable upper level northwest flow will take over as the next ridge tries to build over the western US. Patches of mid and high clouds will occasionally move through, but we’ll see lots of sun. There is a slight chance for scattered mountain showers Sunday afternoon. Afternoon winds will be strongest today but remain gusty each afternoon.
Temps… Today highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Friday Highs will be 50-60 and lows will be 20-30. Saturday and Sunday will be closer to average with highs in the mid-50s to mid-60s and lows in the mid-20s to mid-30s.
Winds… This afternoon winds will gust 25-35mph. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday afternoons peaks will be in the 15-25mph range.
Monday and Tuesday… A system will develop to our northwest and move southeast into our area. It won’t have much moisture or storm energy, but we’ll see more clouds, scattered showers, and a chance for an isolated thunderstorm or two.
Temps… Highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be in the 15-25mph range.
Snow amounts…
Valley below 9,000ft: a few snowflakes – lucky folks above 8,400ft could get up to a half inch
Mountains above 9,000ft: 3-6”
15-day outlook…
The pattern will get more active starting Monday, but I don’t see any big storms on the horizon. We’ll catch the tail end of systems as they scoot by to our north. It’s wind season, so most afternoons winds will gust into the 15-25mph range.
The black arrows indicate the general storm track. Northwest to southeast is not a favorable trajectory for us to get precipitation. I think we’ll catch the tail-end of a couple of systems as they miss us to the north. If the pattern dips a little farther south, we’ll get more. If it pushes farther north, we’ll hardly get anything.
My next post will be on Saturday.
– Shawn
