Enjoy today…wind, rain and some snow returning tomorrow afternoon.

Tree

Our Colorado Green Spruce after last week’s snow. © 2023-Mark Langford

Sunday – 2 April. 2023 – 9:15am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 51 and the low this morning was 21 degrees. Humidity bottomed out at 19%. Winds gusted to 17 mph yesterday at a nearby remote sensor.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize!

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5471/ 1959211/ 1975

Forecast discussion…

Another strong trough and some very cold air will impact us, starting Monday afternoon and evening. For Monday, wind will be our biggest issue, with gusts to 50mph in the valley and 80 mph in the mountains during the afternoon and evening. Snow levels will rise to around 8500 feet on Monday, so most precipitation will fall as rain/snow mix in the afternoon but will switch over to snow by 10pm for most of our area as cold air begins to move in. There could be some thunderstorms thrown into the mix as well. Winds will continue through the night with gusts to over 40mph and blowing snow.

Tuesday will feel more like January than April, with highs struggling to reach freezing temperatures for most of our area. Snow showers will continue until around sunset. Once we clear out, look for potential record lows on Wednesday morning with single digits forecast.

This high wind watch has been issued by our Grand Junction NWS, which includes Wolf Creek Pass.

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING…


* WHAT…Southwest winds 35 to 55 mph with gusts up to 80 mph
possible.

* WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet.

* WHEN…From Monday evening through Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power
lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

500wh.conus
Another strong trough and associated cold front will be to our west Monday afternoon, kicking up our winds to 20-30 mph with gusts to 50mph. Winds on this graphic are in the upper-levels of the atmosphere.
StormTotalSnow
The NWS is forecasting 1-2 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs from our next storm.
Screenshot 2023 04 02 081330
The latest NWS model is forecasting an inch of snow for Pagosa Springs, 6 inches for Wolf Creek and 3 inches of snow for Chama, NM from Monday night through Tuesday.
Screenshot 2023 04 02 082105
Forecast wind gusts Monday afternoon.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day Partly cloudy with highs in the low to mid 50’s. SW winds 10-15 with gusts to 20mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy with a chance for snow/rain showers and a slight chance for thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Lows in the teens to 20’s and highs in the low 50’s. SW winds 25-35mph with gusts to 50mph.

Monday night and Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers, ending Tuesday afternoon. Lows in the teens to 20’s and highs only in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. SW winds 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph.

Snow totals from Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon: 0-2 inches valley and 5-10 inches for the mountains.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the single digits and low teens and highs in the low to mid 30’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with lows in the low to mid teens and highs in the low to mid 40’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper teens to mid 20’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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2 Responses

  1. Hi Mark, just wanted to thank you for all of your hard work and precise weather predictions! And thanks to all of you who work on this. It ‘s a nice thing to have for our area. God Bless you and yours!

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