Standing lenticular clouds over our mountains this afternoon – Pic taken 1/9/2023
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Monday – 9 Jan 2023 – 5:20pm
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 41. The low this morning was 8. The peak wind at the airfield was 5mph.
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|37||59 / 1956||1||-21 / 1912|
Precip summary… There has been no recent precipitation.
Tonight… The ridge will move over our heads this evening and then upper level southwest flow will gradually push more moisture into our area. Spotty snowshowers will develop tonight. The lucky spots in the mountains could get an inch of snow by Tuesday morning. Lucky spots in the valley could get a dusting.
Tuesday to Wednesday afternoon… The next system will move through Wednesday morning. During the day Tuesday scattered showers are possible, mostly over the mountains. The snow level will pop up to 7,500ft Tuesday afternoon but I think the valley will be mostly dry.
The best chance for snow is late Tuesday evening to around noon on Wednesday with scattered showers a few hours on either side.
Between 4am and 7am Wednesday morning, I expect a quick burst of heavy snow, winds gusting 30-35mph, and possible thundersnow as the cold front moves west to east across the county. Expect a brief period of white-out conditions and hazardous travel.
– Valley: 2-5”
– Mountains: 8-12”
*** Roads will get slick Tuesday night. ***
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the Southwest San Juan Mountains valid 6pm Tuesday to 6pm Wednesday for 8-12” of snow winds gusting to 45mph. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.
Wednesday night through most of Saturday… We’ll see the next round of ridging, dry weather, and above average temps. Temps could be 10 degrees above average on Friday.
Long range… Another round of storms will move through 15-18 Jan but I have no confidence in the details.
My next post will be tomorrow afternoon.