Be careful tomorrow morning! – Pic taken last winter
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Tuesday – 10 Jan 2023 – 4:00pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 42. The low this morning was 25 and it occurred at 2:15am. The peak wind at the airfield was 8mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 37 | 62 / 1944 | 2 | -22 / 1964 |
Precip summary… Most of us got a dusting of snow this morning. Wolf Creek reported zero new snow but based on web cams, they got a dusting too.
Forecast discussion…
Tonight to Wednesday afternoon… The next system will move quickly through the county early tomorrow morning. The shorter duration of this storm, just 1-3 hours, means we will get less snow. The bulk of the snow will be done by 8-9am in the valley but hit and miss snowshowers could linger until noon. In the mountains, scattered snowshowers will linger into the afternoon.
Between 2am for the far western part of the county to 7am for the far eastern part of the county, I expect a 1-2 hour burst of heavy snow, winds gusting 30-35mph, and possible thundersnow as the cold front moves west to east across the county. Expect a brief period of white-out conditions and hazardous travel.
Snow amounts…
– Valley: 1-3”
– Mountains: 8-12”
*** Travel conditions will deteriorate rapidly tonight. ***
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the Southwest San Juan Mountains valid 6pm Tuesday to 6pm Wednesday for 8-12” of snow winds gusting to 45mph. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.
Wednesday night through Saturday afternoon… We’ll see the next round of ridging, dry weather, and above average temps. Temps could be 10 degrees above average on Friday.
Saturday night to Sunday night… The next system will move through, and things are lining up for decent snow.
First guess snow amounts…
Valley: 4-8”
Mountains: 8-12”
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
My next post will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn
