A short break, then storm #2!

BA

A before and after photo taken from our backyard on Monday and today…It’s great to get our snow globe back!

Thursday – 29 Dec. 2022 – Noon

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 33 and the low this morning was 23 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 91%. Winds at the airfield hit 29mph in a wind gust yesterday.

310448169 464334978857509 8427265086087382920 n 1
Thanks to the Springs Resort for sponsoring this upcoming storm!

Precipitation summary…While this past storm falls into the category of “under producers”, we still managed to see 2-4 inches of snow yesterday for most of the valley, and storm totals ranging from 4-7 inches in Pagosa Springs. The highest totals were south of town, where Chromo recorded 12 inches.

Wolf Creek Ski area reports 12 inches of snow over the past 24 hours and a storm total of 16 inches.

Below are yesterday’s totals and two-day storm totals.

one day
24-hr COCORAHS snow reports as of this morning.
two day
2-day COCORAHS snowfall reports as of this morning.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3555/ 19561-26 / 1966

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Forecast discussion…

The rest of today through Saturday… Partly cloudy this afternoon. Cooler temps with lows in the single digits and teens and highs in the low to mid 30’s. There will be a chance for snow showers on Friday and Saturday with light accumulations of 1-2 inches of snow expected during the period. Clouds will be on the increase on Friday and Saturday as a smaller system moves in from the west.

Saturday night-Monday: Another trough and more SW flow will give us a good chance for snow from Sunday through Monday. Best odds for heavier totals will be on Sunday and Sunday night.

Tuesday-rest of next week: Continued unsettled with chances for snow throughout next week

Here is my latest snowfall forecast from today through Saturday.

– Valley: 1-2 inches of snow

– Mountains: 2-4”

Here is my snowfall forecast from Sunday through Tuesday morning.

– Valley: 7-12 inches of snow.

– Mountains: 12-24”

Screenshot 2022 12 29 114411
The trough has passed to our east this morning, giving us cooler weather and a peak of the sun. A small system is moving our way from the west and will give us a chance for light snow on Friday afternoon and Saturday. Our next big storm moves in on Sunday.
Screenshot 2022 12 29 092838
The latest NWS snowfall model is predicting 2 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs, 2 inches for Chama, NM and 4 inches for Wolf Creek Pass from today through Sunday morning. The heavier snow from the next storm will be from Sunday night through Monday night.
NBM 6 1
The latest NBM model is predicting 9 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 12.1 inches for Chama, NM through next Tuesday morning.
GFS 9
 The latest GFS model is predicting 14 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 14.9 inches for Chama, NM through next Tuesday morning.
Euro 6
The latest Euro model is predicting 12.5 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 15.7 inches for Chama, NM through next Tuesday morning. 

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 12 29 22 2
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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