I shot this cool sunset about a week ago. © 2022-Mark Langford
Sunday – 4 Dec. 2022 – 9:15am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 44 and the low this morning was 28 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 43%. Winds at the airfield hit 5mph yesterday.
Precipitation summary…There was no precipitation to summarize!
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|44||64/ 1906||10||-19 / 1952|
The Big Low to the NW of northern CA will continue to slowly move SE over the next few days, then become a trough as it moves over the Great Basin. Meanwhile, the subtropical jet-stream will bring in warm air aloft through Monday afternoon, giving us mainly a chance for rain through that time period. Snow levels will be very high for this time of the year, staying close to 9500 feet today and most of Monday. Fortunately, Wolf Creek will see snow instead of rain through Thursday and will have a chance for snow each day.
The rest of today… Mostly cloudy with a chance for rain in the valley and light snow for the mountains.
Tonight through Monday afternoon… A chance for some light rain and snow mix tonight through Monday depending on your elevation. Most of us will only see light rain.
Snow amounts from today through Monday:
Valley below 8,000ft: none
Valley above 8,000ft: 0-1”
Mountains above 9,000ft: 2-4”
By Monday night, the snow levels drop below 7000 feet so we will only be “talking snow” from that point on.
Monday night through Wednesday evening… Things are lining up for a decent snow event. The primary low will sink slowly south along the CA coast and then track across northern AZ/southern UT – a favorable route for us.
We’ll have a prolonged period of upper level southwest flow and waves of moisture. The best storm energy and moisture will be late Tuesday through Wednesday.
My snow forecast from Monday night through Thursday morning…
Valley below 7,500ft: 3-6”
Valley above 7,500ft: 5-10”
Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.