Tommy always “helps” us shovel snow! – Pic taken 12/2/2022
If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!
Friday – 2 Dec 2022 – 2:00pm
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 48. The low this morning was 32. Winds peaked this morning at the airfield at 32mph. Winds on the Wolf Creek summit/Lobo Overlook sensor peaked this morning at 77mph.
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|44||65 / 1906||10||-12 / 1975|
Precip summary… It started snowing between 6 and 7am this morning and came down pretty good for 1-2 hours. Most reports are in the 1-2” range. Wolf Creek reported a trace of snow at 6am this morning. It snowed heavily up there for a few hours and is still snowing lightly as I type at 1pm. Better precip totals for this storm will be in tomorrow’s post.
Through this afternoon… We’ll be mostly cloudy with some patches of blue sky. Occasional short-lived light snow will fall in parts of the valley. The mountains will continue to see occasional bursts of heavier snow through the day.
Valley: a dusting
*** The Winter Weather Advisories for the mountains expire at 5pm. The heaviest snow is over. ***
Saturday… A band of subtropical moisture will move through and kick up a round of snowshowers. The best chance for showers is 7am to noon.
Valley: Up to a half inch in a few lucky spots
Mountains: 1-2” but it will be spotty
Sunday through Monday afternoon… My confidence is waning with this system. The trend is for a weaker system and with less moisture. It’s still going to be warm resulting in a mostly rain event for the valley.
Snow levels will pop above 8,500ft Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening resulting in rain for all of us. As snow levels lower below 8,000ft after midnight, moisture will be decreasing.
The best chance for precip is Sunday evening through Monday morning with scattered showers a few hours on either side, especially over the mountains.
Valley below 8,500ft: 0-1”
Mountains above 9,000ft: 2-4”
Monday night through Wednesday evening… Dare I get my hopes up – this looks like the main event! The primary low will sink slowly south along the CA coast and then track across northern AZ/southern UT – a favorable route for us.
We’ll have a prolonged period of upper level southwest flow and waves of moisture. The best storm energy and moisture will be late Tuesday through Wednesday.
I’ll tackle snow amounts for this period in tomorrow’s post.
My next forecast post will be tomorrow morning.