“NW Flow Don’t Bring Much Snow!” Fritz, the rapping snowman.

Snow Peak

This morning’s brief break in the cloud cover gave me the opportunity to photograph Pagosa Peak before it became obscured again! Photo: © 2022-Mark Langford

Monday – 14 Nov 2022 – 11:20am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 46 and the low this morning was 25 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 29%. Winds at the airfield hit 20mph yesterday.

Precipitation summary…Wolf Creek Ski area reported 3 inches of fresh power overnight. Based on reports from all of you this morning, snowfall ranged from just zero to a couple of inches in the valley, with most of only seeing 1/2 inch or less. The snow seemed to go “poof” last night after moving through the Durango area, where totals were generally 1-2 inches.

Screenshot 2022 11 14 090520
Durango stole our snow! The system seemed to break up after leaving Durango last night.

Forecast discussion…

The cut-off low has moved east this morning, leaving us with some leftover wrap around moisture and a chance for some additional snow showers this afternoon as a shortwave to our NW moves through.

We are now in a NW flow, which normally means very little chance for moisture. Look for a chilly week ahead with lows in the single digits and low teens and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. We could see a few of the Siberian spots in the county drop to below zero over the next couple of nights.

The latest GFS model is teasing us with a chance for a decent snow for Thanksgiving, but that’s way too far out to get excited about! For now, mainly cold and fair weather ahead this week.

Fritz, the rapping snowman, explains NW flow!
Screenshot 2022 11 14 101845
The cut-off low has moved to the east this morning, leaving us in a NW flow. A shortwave will move through this afternoon and may give us a few snow showers.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 11 14 22 1
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5165 / 199017-10 / 1950

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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