Cold morning walks with pup Tommy and skies like this are a great way to start the day! – pic taken 11/12/2022
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Saturday – 12 Nov 2022 – 1:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 38. The low this morning was 16. The cold spots dipped into the high single digits. Winds at the airfield hit 10mph yesterday afternoon.
Precip summary… There has been no recent precip.
Forecast discussion…
Today through most of tomorrow… The upper level ridge will move to our east. We’ll see more clouds but will stay dry. Afternoon winds will kick up a bit.
Late Sunday through Monday morning… A fast moving low pressure system with limited moisture will slide to our south and kick up snowshowers. I don’t expect much snow, but the one thing working in our favor are the cold temps. It will be powdery snow that will have no problem sticking. Roads could be sketchy Monday morning, especially over Wolf Creek Pass.
The best chance for snow is 10pm Sunday to 6am Monday. Spotty snow showers are possible a few hours on either side of that, especially over the mountains.
Snow amounts…
Valley: 0-1”
Chama: 1-2”
Mountains: 2-4”
Tuesday and Wednesday… Another quick moving system with limited moisture will move through the area from the northwest. We’ll see spotty snowshowers, mainly over the mountains. A few snowflakes are possible in the valley and the lucky spots in the mountains could get an inch.
Next system?… Friday night to Sunday night – Some forecast models expect decent snow while others expect hardly anything. At this point, I expect hardly anything.
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
Based on everything I see, we should be firmly in the “likely below” chance for less than average precip for the next two weeks.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 52 | 70 / 1989 | 17 | -8 / 1940 |
Mark will take over tomorrow. Good luck!
– Shawn
