Beautiful morning – the calm before the storm! – pic taken 11/9/2022
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Wednesday – 9 Nov 2022 – 8:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 59. The low this morning was 32. The coldest I saw this morning was the upper Piedra with 17 degrees. Winds at the airfield hit 24mph yesterday afternoon.
Precip summary… There has been no precipitation.
Forecast discussion…
Today… The front will move west to east across Archuleta County 5-7pm. For an hour or two ahead of the front, scattered showers with rain up to 8,500ft is possible. Behind the front, temps and snow levels will drop rapidly and we’ll see a quick 1-2 hour burst of moderate to heavy snow.
** Winds will gust 30-40mph this afternoon and into the evening in the valley and 60-70mph in the mountains. **
** Expect a 1-2 hour period of moderate to heavy snow, poor visibility, gusty winds, and bad roads this evening. **
My snow forecast…
Valley below 8,500ft: 1-2”
Above 8,500ft: 3-6”
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the southwest San Juan Mountains for 2-6” of snow and winds to 60mph valid from noon to midnight today. *** Precip will start in our mountains 3-4pm and be done by midnight. I expect winds to 70mph in the mountains. This advisory does not include Pagosa Springs.
Thursday through Monday… Ridging will take over and give us dry weather and a gradual warming trend.
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 52 | 69 / 1973 | 18 | -4 / 1948 |
I’ll probably do a quick Facebook post this evening, otherwise, my next post will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn
