Love waking up to a winter wonderland! – pic taken 11/4/2022
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Friday – 4 Nov 2022 – 10:15am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 34 and the low this morning was 18. The upper Piedra had a low of 7 this morning, but most of us were in the low teens to low 20s. Winds at the airfield hit 24mph yesterday.
Precip summary… Precip came in waves yesterday and the snow level bounced around a bit. Folks above around 7,500ft experienced all snow, but it was wet. Folks below about 7,500ft fluctuated back and forth between rain and snow. Finally between 3 and 5pm, everyone in the Pagosa area got a heavy burst of snow. Hillary, down near Chromo, even reported thundersnow!
Wolf Creek reported a total of 26” and should have a good opening today!
The storm moved through after midnight like expected, but had already weakened considerably, so we didn’t get the last burst of snow I expected.
Thanks so much for your reports!
Today through Monday… The low has moved to our southeast. Upper level flow has switched to the northwest and drier air has moved in. Ridging and dry air will stick with us through Monday.
Tuesday night through Thursday morning… The next system will move through. The forecast models are all over the place with a wide range of outcomes so my forecast confidence in the details is very low. Right now, I think the best storm energy and moisture will stay to our north and we’ll get scraps. The best chance for precip is Wednesday afternoon to Thursday morning.
My rough first guess snow forecast…
Valley below 7,500ft: 1-3”
Valley above 7,500ft: 2-4”
As always, I’ll adjust the amounts and timing as the data gets better.
I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments.
I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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