Sunrise at our camp spot at Navajo Lake – pic taken 10/14/2022
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Saturday – 15 Oct 2022 – 11:00am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 68 and the low this morning was 32. The upper Piedra was 20 this morning and many spots were pretty close to the average low of 26. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 17%. Winds at the airfield hit 10mph yesterday.
Precip summary… There has been no rain in the last few days and just a few small clouds.
Clouds will increase tonight as a cut-off low is expected to move through NM Sunday and Monday. We’ll be on the northern edge, but we’ll see more clouds and scattered showers, especially on Sunday. The snow level will average around 10,000ft but we could see a few wet snowflakes in the valley tomorrow night. Snow will not stick in the valley but 1-2” is possible in the mountains.
Will it snow soon? I’m keeping an eye on a colder system expected around the 23rd. We could catch the tail end of a cold front, as the system skirts across northern Colorado. Right now forecast confidence is low. We’ll get a better a handle on the system as the data gets better. See the forecast meteograms below for a thorough weather geek explanation.
There was nothing significant on radar this morning.
And my thoughts after looking at other products for next week: Most of the cold air and precip will stay to our north. I see potential for a dusting of snow in the valley and a few inches in the mountains. Forecast confidence is low at this point.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|64||82 / 1958||26||14 / 1966|
Mark takes over tomorrow.