One of our favorite views. Keep an eye out for the ark Wednesday and Thursday! – Pic taken 9/19/2022
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Monday – 19 Sep 2022 – 5:40pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 76 and the low this morning was 48. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 20%. Winds at the airfield hit 24mph yesterday.
Precip summary… A few surprise showers moved through overnight. The rain lottery winners were Steve near Vista Lake and Suanne near Village Lake.

Forecast discussion…
Tropical storm Madeline will send moisture our way!

*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a FLOOD WATCH for Tuesday afternoon to Thursday evening. Excessive rainfall and runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, low-lying areas, and other flood-prone locations. ***

Four ingredients are coming together for a significant rain event:
1. A low will spin off the northern CA coast through Wednesday morning and then it will move northeast across central OR and then the ID panhandle.
2. A high will wobble around the TX/OK region during the same time.
3. Upper level southerly and southwesterly flow between the low and the high will persist until Friday morning.
4. Tropical storm Madeline will have a short life, but her moisture will funnel into our area Tuesday evening into early Friday morning.
Precip expectations… The forecast models are coming into agreement with around 2.0” in our area. As of 5pm Monday afternoon, I expect 1.75” to 2.25” of rain in the Pagosa Springs area.


My forecast…

Wednesday & Thursday: Rain, occasionally heavy with localized flooding.
Friday: Showers tapering off in the morning and clouds clearing during the afternoon. The cold spots could dip below freezing Friday night.
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
73 | 87 / 1956 | 35 | 9 / 1993 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next update will be Tuesday afternoon.
– Shawn