It’s a good morning to enjoy a hot beverage! – Pic taken 9/14/2022
If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!
Wednesday – 14 Sep 2022 – 9:40am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 73 and the low this morning was 51. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 31%. Winds at the airfield hit 25mph yesterday.
Precip summary… The rain held off until the late evening and then much of the county got some decent rain. The rain lottery winner this morning was Jim in Aspens Springs 2.
Forecast discussion…
Today the remnants of tropical system Kay will move through the region. Showers are moving through parts of the county as I type. The morning showers will decrease, clouds will break up some, and then we’ll see another round of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon. High temps will be 10 degrees below average.
When the clouds lift above the mountain tops, keep an eye on our highest peaks, like the Rio Grande Pyramid and Summit Peak, for SNOW! The snow level could drop as low as 12,800ft.
Thursday we’ll gradually dry out as remnants of Kay move to our east and ridging builds back into the area. There will still be enough instability and moisture to trigger a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms, mostly over the mountains.
Friday through Sunday we’re stuck between a developing trough along the West Coast and the sub-tropical high over the southern plains. Drier air will continue to move into our area and give us lots of sun. Unfortunately upper level flow will increase out of the southwest resulting in afternoon winds up to 30mph Saturday and Sunday.
The pattern gets interesting starting around the 19th. The forecast models are flip-flopping on a potentially strong system impacting parts of the western US. Right now it looks like most of the moisture and precip will miss us to the north. It’s a dynamic system with a lot of uncertainty. However it goes, I’m excited to be looking at a change in the seasons!
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 74 | 92 / 1990 | 37 | 24 / 1950 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next update will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn
One Response
Love your weather reports. We are visiting Pagosa Springs in a couple of weeks and it’s great to have accurate information.