A colorful precursor to “sunrise surprise” showers – Pic taken 8/22/2022
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Monday – 22 Aug 2022 – 9:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 72 and the low this morning was 54. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 42%. Winds at the airfield hit 18mph yesterday.
Precip summary… The rain lottery winner was Lisa in San Juan River Village!

Forecast discussion…
The trough is on our doorstep and contributing to instability today. The trough is pushing the monsoon plume slowly to the south and upper flow will turn northerly as the ridge moves in behind it over the next few days.
Moisture and instability will remain high enough for scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. However, things are less certain Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture and instability drop slightly below thresholds for showers.
Later in the week another trough will move through northern Colorado. Upper level southwest flow and forcing ahead of the trough will ramp up shower and thunderstorm activity Thursday and Friday.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.


** Storms later today and again tomorrow will move from the north to the south. **

My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
79 | 91 / 1910 | 44 | 29 / 1956 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Unless something pops up, my next post will be on Wednesday.
– Shawn