Invasion of drier air for a day…

Up in the sky

I flew my drone up into the sky at 1pm and captured a very green Coyote Loop Trail with Pagosa Peak in the background. Photo by Mark Langford

Thursday – 18 August 2022 – 1:30pm update.

The past…

The high on Wednesday at Stevens Field was 73 and the low this morning was 51. Our humidity bottomed out at 46% and the airport recorded a 17mph wind gust. Rainfall totals ranged from 0.42 to 0.00, but most of us saw around a tenth of an inch again.

Screenshot 2022 08 18 120903
COCORAHS rainfall reports over the past 24 hours for the Pagosa Springs area ranged from 0.42 of an inch southeast of town to 0.00 to our south.

Forecast discussion…

After a very active day yesterday (even though rainfall totals were not very high), we are seeing the opposite situation today as some drier air invaded our area overnight as seen in our low temps which fell into the 40’s for many of us this morning. Our home, about a mile north of Hatcher Lake, hit 44 degrees. While there will be some afternoon storms today, they will be very scattered. Fortunately, by tomorrow, high pressure that is over Colorado today will move east, allowing our monsoon flow to return through the weekend and into next week. As of this post, Saturday appears to be the most active day over the next three days.

For all of you visiting our beautiful area, please be careful when you go out on hikes, especially in the afternoons. Totally clear mornings can quickly turn into stormy afternoons with 20-30 degree drop in temps, heavy rain, hail, lightning and gusty winds over 40mph! Make sure you pack rain gear because being wet when temps drop to the 50’s can be more than uncomfortable…it can be dangerous.

Screenshot 2022 08 18 121040
Drier air aloft, indicated in yellow, has invaded our area today, reducing our rain odds dramatically. Fortunately, high pressure will move to the east, allowing our monsoon flow to make a return by Friday.
Screenshot 2022 08 18 122535
Despite very low chances for rain today, the latest NWS 3-day rainfall forecast model is still predicting 0.6 inches for Pagosa Springs, 0.7 inch for Chama and 1 inch for the mountains.
Screenshot 2022 08 18 120623
The latest drought monitor graphic continues to show improvement for most of Colorado. Archuletta county is almost drought free!

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 8 18 22
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.

Pagosa Springs historical data for Aug 18th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8194/ 19464530/ 1960

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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