There are a few small cumulus clouds over the mountains this morning – Pic taken 8/12/2022
If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!
Friday – 12 Aug 2022 – 9:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 83 and the low this morning was 54. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 21%. Winds at the airfield hit 22mph yesterday.
Precip summary… No precip was reported yesterday morning. Last night a “sunset surprise” shower moved across the north part of the county. The rain lottery winner was Gerry on Roush.
Forecast discussion…
The upper level high is now centered over northeast Colorado. This puts us on the dry and stable side of the low with upper level southeasterly flow.
Through the weekend, Cape, a measure instability, and precipitable water, the amount of water potentially available for precip, will remain slightly below the thresholds for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. There is still a slight chance, but they’ll be few and far between and mostly over the mountains.
Monday, the high will be slightly farther east and upper level flow will turn more southerly. The monsoon plume will start shifting farther east and instability will increase leading to an increase of afternoon storms. The second half of next week will be more active and more wet.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.
At 9:00am there was nothing significant on radar in our area.
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 80 | 89 / 1972 | 45 | 33 / 1950 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Unless something pops up, Mark will do the next post on Sunday.
– Shawn
