Love these beautiful scenes in the high country – Pic taken 8/9/2022
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Wednesday – 10 Aug 2022 – 8:15pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high this afternoon was 84 and the low this morning was 53. Humidity this afternoon bottomed out at 21%. Winds at the airfield hit 18mph.
Precip summary… Yesterday the rain lottery winners were Val in Lost Valley and Lisa in San Juan River Village. 24-hour reports from this morning indicate that Terry was the rain lottery winner near Chromo.


Forecast discussion…
The upper level high is now centered over north-central Colorado. This puts us on the dry and stable side of the low with upper level easterly flow.
For the next five days, Cape, a measure instability, and precipitable water, the amount of water potentially available for precip, will remain slightly below the thresholds for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. There is still a slight chance but they’ll be few and far between and mostly over the mountains.
I expect the high to shift to our east starting around Tuesday. This will turn our flow more southerly and help push monsoon moisture back into our area. The second half of next week will be more active and more wet.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.

At 7:30pm there was nothing significant on radar in our area.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.



Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
81 | 92 / 1934 | 45 | 28 / 1956 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next forecast post will be on Friday morning.
– Shawn