There was some crazy lightning yesterday! – Pic taken 8/7/2022 around 1:45pm looking northwest towards Williams Creek Reservoir.
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Monday – 8 Aug 2022 – 9:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 79. The low this morning was 52. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 35%. Winds at the airfield hit 28mph yesterday.
Precip summary… There were some big rain lottery winners yesterday. Carol Ann Peterson reported 1.2” in an hour and ended up with 1.36” total in Alpine Lakes Ranch Elk Ridge. Sean Poore on CR 359 in Coyote Park also reported over an inch of rain. Thanks for your reports!

Forecast discussion…
The upper level high continues to wobble around the Four Corners area. The high is currently to our west.
Today, Cape, a measure instability, is well past the threshold for us to get showers and thunderstorms. Precipitable water, the amount of water potentially available for precip, will peak just under an inch so there is plenty of moisture to work with.
Today’s storms will be moving a little faster from the north-northeast towards the south-southwest.
Over the next few days, the high is expected to move north. By the middle of the week, northeast flow around the high will weaken the monsoon moisture plume and push it to our west resulting in fewer showers and thunderstorms.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.

At 9:00am there was nothing significant on radar in our region.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.



Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
82 | 90 / 1969 | 45 | 29 / 1956 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next forecast post will be on Wednesday.
– Shawn