The winds are back, but a pattern change is on the way!

Curious

“Curious”, my pet tortoise since 1968 is enjoying the afternoon warmth in our backyard as some towering cumulus clouds build over Pagosa Peak yesterday. She will be hanging out with us this summer, before moving to Las Vegas where she will live with our youngest daughter in a climate better suited for a tortoise.

Sunday – 12 Jun 2022 – 9:30am

Climate Info…

Yesterday at Stevens Field, the high was 89 – just 5 degrees short of the record of 94. The low this morning was 50. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 12%. Winds at the airfield yesterday peaked at 30mph.

Red Flag 2
Red Flag Warnings have been issued for our area through midnight on Monday night.

…RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS

…RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM MDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER.

WINDS…Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts 30 to 40 mph today. Southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts 50 to 60 mph on Monday. Cold front passage late Monday will turn winds to the northwest. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY…6 to 11 percent. * IMPACTS…Conditions will be favorable for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires due to low relative humidity and strong gusty winds.

Archuleta County and the San Juan National Forest have implemented STAGE 1 FIRE RESTRICTIONS.

Forecast discussion…

Thanks to an approaching late season cold front, winds will ramp up this afternoon, tomorrow and tomorrow night until the front passes on early Tuesday. Expect wind gusts to over 30mph today and exceeding 40mph on Monday along with a chance for dust. High temps will remain in the mid to upper 80’s today and tomorrow. Unfortunately, all of the moisture from this system will stay to our north, as usual. On a positive note, high temps will return to closer to average (upper 70’s) on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Later in the week, a strong trough will take up residence over the west coast and the “Hell High” that has been torturing the southern plains will allow subtropical moisture to start flowing into our area from the south by Friday. This should set up our first monsoon pattern for this season. While it may not be a permanent setup, it should give us at least 3-5 days of great chances for afternoon storms. Some of the models are already predicting over an inch of rain from Friday through the middle of the following week. This will be convective activity so there will be daily rainfall winners and losers, but hopefully all of us will end up with some beneficial rain by next week. Longer range models continue the pattern for the rest of the month and into July…let’s hope they verify!

Screenshot 2022 06 12 074658
An approaching trough and cold front will increase our winds today and tomorrow. By Tuesday, our high temperatures will drop back into the upper 70’s and low 80’s.
Screenshot 2022 06 12 082616 1
A trough will set up to our west and a ridge to our east…perfect scenario for sub-tropical moisture to roll into our area!
Screenshot 2022 06 12 082635
Precipitable Water will increase to over an inch on Saturday. “Precipitable water is the depth of water in a column of the atmosphere, if all the water in that column were precipitated as rain.”
Screenshot 2022 06 12 085749
The latest GFS model run is predicting almost 2 inches of rain for Pagosa Springs through next Tuesday!
Pagosa 5 day forecast 6 12b
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *

Pagosa Springs historical data for June 12th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7898 / 19463519 / 1951

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon