A tiny chance for showers-thunderstorms, then dry…


Winds gusting to 40mph, brought in more dust yesterday afternoon, obscuring Pagosa Peak. We should see improved visibilities over the next few days with a NW flow aloft.

5-4-22 9am update…

The low today at Stevens Field has been 27 degrees and the high yesterday was 67 degrees. There has been no precipitation recorded in the past 24 hours. The highest wind gust was 40 mph yesterday.

Screenshot 2022 05 04 074552
An upper-level low is moving from west to east today and will spin some wrap-around moisture towards us this afternoon as it passes to our north.
Screenshot 2022 05 04 074858
The latest radar imagery shows some showers wrapping around the low, moving SE.

As an upper-level low to our north moves to the east today, we will see another tiny chance for snow (upper elevations) and rain-thunder showers from wrap-around moisture behind the upper-level low this afternoon. As usual, most of the moisture from this system will stay to our north. Our mountains could see up to a half inch of snow, but totals will likely be less. Our moisture and cloud window will open from noon-5pm. The rest of the week looks mostly sunny with breezy afternoons. We should see improved visibilities over the next few days with a NW flow aloft. If you are looking for the least wind, Thursday and Friday will be the calmest with winds only gusting to the 20’s. Saturday and Sunday we will see wind gusts ramping up to the 30’s again. High temps will top off in the 50’s today with increasing clouds, then warm into the 60’s by tomorrow.

Unless we see some surprising rainfall totals this afternoon, my next post will be on Friday.

Screenshot 2022 05 04 075006
NWS forecast rainfall totals over the next 3 days…you’ll be lucky to see a few hundredths today.
month1 outlook
With very little rain in April and zero so far in May, Pagosa Springs is now part of a large area of “Significant Wildland Fire Potential”. Be careful out there!

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5 day forecast 5 4 22

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for May 3rd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6684/ 19472814/ 1913

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