High Fire Danger continues…

A Red Flag Warning is in effect starting tomorrow.

5-6-22 9:45am update…

The low today at Stevens Field has been 33 degrees and the high yesterday was 67 degrees. There has been no precipitation recorded in the past 24 hours. The highest wind gust was 28 mph yesterday.

RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207 AND 295 BELOW 8000 FEET… *WINDS…Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY…8 to 13 percent. * IMPACTS…Conditions will become favorable for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires due to low relative humidity and strong gusty winds on Saturday, and potentially again Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings.

The above watches and warnings pretty much sum up the forecast for the next several days. A series of low-pressure systems will move into the Pacific NW, then rapidly move east, creating a strong, but dry, SW flow for most of the Southwest, including us. Today will be the last day for at least five days, when winds will not be gusting over 30mph. Unfortunately, as of this post, I do not see a widespread rain event in at least 1-2 weeks.

Shawn will take over on Sunday…have a safe weekend!

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This graphic is from the NWS in Albuquerque, but much of it applies to us as well.
Screenshot 2022 05 06 085850
There are several large fires burning in New Mexico right now. Fortunately, our NW and SW flows will keep their smoke blowing away from our area.
Screenshot 2022 05 06 085711
I wish I had better news, but even the long-range forecasts keep us dry through at least the middle of May.
month1 outlook
With very little rain in April and zero so far in May, Pagosa Springs is now part of a large area of “Significant Wildland Fire Potential”. Be careful out there!

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5 day forecast 5 6 22

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for May 3rd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6687/ 19162812/ 1950

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